Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2026

#EV 7.44% Circa -110 BO -108

Wolves need 96’ guards + some F time. Ayo 38 Bones/Conley 20 each still leaves 20-25 for Shannon wit garbage time upside. He can score if he gets on the court and Minn needs to find offense now and may have to play him. Not a median play cuz he might just fizzle. 17ppg with 25+ min, DD pts 9g this yr. Take the home run swing. Odds at FD & MGM.

#EV 2.49% Pinny -118 Circa -110 BO -115

#EV 4.42% Pinny -105 BO -105

Jokic is absolutely popping as a buy-low in my Pass Mix analysis. He has just 31 assists through 4 games on 60 potential assists, but he’s due for positive regression in just about every facet. His teammates have been letting him down on conversion rate, passing up shots they normally take, and he also has 8 adjusted assists, which includes potential assists lost to shooting fouls or hockey-style assists. So it’s not just one area running cold, it’s multiple. The Nuggets themselves are due for roughly 3 more assists tonight as a team, and a big chunk of that naturally flows through Jokic. That makes this the ultimate buy-low on a guy who probably gets over money in 90%+ of games. This is one of the rare spots where the public may lean under (more than normal), or just stay away entirely, which makes it even more interesting. I have him projected closer to 10.4 assists with around a 59% chance to clear 9.5, and it shapes up as one of the better buy-low spots you’ll get on Jokic.

Points pls

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#EV 4.64% Pinny -156 BM -156

#Tailing @JoeDellera

#EV 4.46% Pinny -162 BM -160 FD -162 BO -147