Suns vs. 76ers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 7, 2025

"I’m just ready for whatever. Some nights I’ll be able to do something like tonight, and that’ll be what I need to do. Other nights, I’ll just--it'll strictly be on one side of the ball, the defensive end. So that’s just how it goes for guys like me." - Caleb Martin. The above is a quote and exactly what you want to hear from Caleb Martin coming off a 17-point game vs. BKN in where he started 7/7 FG and finished with 88% shooting. Knowing his role as the 4th-5th option and defensive POA attacker with the star players, nights like these are random, and now Kelly Oubre Jr. who missed the last three games, is now upgraded to questionable vs. his former team. But zooming out to selective data when he plays w/ Embiid + Maxey + George, he averages 8.5 PPG and sees an average of a 10.3% usage rate in the 8 games when all are playing. The thre games he went over were vs. SAS (Embiid in-game injury), BOS (outlier & Embiid 11 points), & last game vs. BKN with a perfect 7-7 FG start. Tonight, he’ll meet up a Suns team that’s making lineup changes to improve their defense in the right direction. They rank 5th best in spot-ups (35% of Caleb’s PTS) and his 1.5 3PM is favored to go under at -195. In situations where this happens, Caleb goes under his prop in 6 of the 6 games played. #PlayerProps

7.98% ev

1.6.25 #NBA Best Bet 🏀 #SunsUp☀️vs. #76ers🔔 ☀️PHX 1H +.5 (-115)☀️ No Embiid for PHI who will play their first home game since 12/23/24, after a 6-game road trip. This has been a classic letdown spot where home teams tend to let their foot off the gas to start games. PHI will also play their 4th game in 6 nights after soundly defeating the BKN. Meanwhile, PHX has the rest advantage, but playing their first game of a b2b set--a spot where they’re 5-1 ATS 1H this season. They’re also 11-6 ATS in the 1H off a loss and 6-3-1 as a road dog. If we look at the big picture 1H stats: PHX 1H: +6 Net Rating on the road (7th), 11-4 ATS PHI 1H: -3.8 Net Rating at home (20th), 5-8 ATS, 2-3-1 as a home fave This is a great spot for PHX who are fully healthy. One wrinkle is they will bring Bradley Beal off the bench, however I think this is good considering there’s a bit of an “only one basketball” problem in PHX anyway. W/ Beal off the bench, that gives added scoring to the second-unit.