2019 NBA Draft Prop: Will Coby White Go in the Top 6?

UNC freshman point guard Coby White is coming off an incredible college season, averaging 16.1 points, 4.1 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.1 steals in 28.5 minutes per game leading Roy Williams' demanding offense. He upped those numbers in conference play, notably shooting 38.5% from deep.

But where will he go in Thursday's NBA Draft? Books have set the line at over or under draft position 6.5.

Rumors are swirling around Darius Garland, a five-star point guard prospect out of Vanderbilt who played just a few games last season, and it's thought he could go No. 4, either to the Pelicans or by numerous teams that apparently interested in trading up for him. What does that mean for White, and is there value in his over/under draft prop?

Update at 6:18 p.m. ET: The Suns have traded away the No. 6 pick to the Minnesota Timberwolves. I would no longer bet Coby White under 6.5 and instead would rather take plus odds on over if still available.

My usual disclaimer: We don't know anything about these props other than intel from writers sourced into front offices. This isn't predicting on-field performance like most bets; this is trying to predict decisions, and we have little information. Have fun with these props if you want to bet them, but be aware that these are incredibly volatile bets.

All said, Jonathan Givony of ESPN, who is perhaps the most sourced individual into the draft, currently has White mocked sixth to the Suns. It makes sense: Garland could be gone by then, and the Suns have needed a point guard for almost a decade now since losing Steve Nash. They've experimented with Devin Booker as the lead guard, but they clearly need a complementary piece around him and thus could look to fill that role with a PG in this draft.

Apparently the Suns are open to trading the pick, and then all bets are off. They're apparently high on Jarrett Culver, who may or may not be available. Again, draft props are volatile. But Givony did mention this:

Should they keep the pick, they seem very high on White, which makes some sense considering his size, shooting prowess and ability to play off of a playmaking combo guard such as Booker.

If the draft goes currently as expected, which is Garland and Culver off the board after the Big 3, it's not outlandish to think the Suns, if they can't find a trade suitor, will just go ahead and take the player that fills their biggest current need.

Given all of that information, I think it should be close to about 50/50 that White goes to the Suns at No. 6, and thus there's likely a bit of value at plus odds (+130) in the betting market taking under 6.5.