76ers vs. Kings Sharp Betting Pick (March 5): Pro Action Moving the Over/Under

76ers vs. Kings Sharp Betting Pick (March 5): Pro Action Moving the Over/Under article feature image
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Chris Elise/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Tobias Harris

  • Pro bettors have hit tonight's Kings (-5) vs. 76ers matchup in Sacramento.
  • Even though Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid are out, the sharps aren't hammering the spread, but the total for tonight's game.
  • See the full analysis below.

Given that Steph Curry’s return to the Warriors is being paired alongside a primetime Clippers-Rockets matchup, there’s a good chance bettors are looking past a Sixers-Kings game at 10 p.m. ET.

That is unless you’re one of the sharp bettors who immediately found value on the over/under.


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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Sacramento Kings Sharp Betting Pick

With Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons out tonight, the Kings are being listed as 5-point favorites tonight, and most bettors have been staying away from the shorthanded Sixers. Fifty-eight percent of bets, to be exact, are landing on the Kings, who’ve come up a bit from -4.5 at some books over the course of the day.

But as mentioned, it’s the over/under that’s catching the attention of sharps.

After opening at 222.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, the total has drawn a similar majority of bettors to the under, landing 57% of tickets to this point. And according to Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, sharps have been among that majority.

Three signals — indicators of sharp action based on market activity — have landed on the under, and oddsmakers have responded by dropping this number all the way to 218.5. It’s worth noting that the most recent move came at 221, meaning it’s unclear whether sharps would still suggest value at the current number.

Also pointing toward a pro backing of the under has been the 73% of money generated by those 57% of bettors, revealing that bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are expecting a lower scoring game.

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 222.5 to 218.5)

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