Locky: Why I’m Betting the Game 7 Over/Under

Locky: Why I’m Betting the Game 7 Over/Under article feature image

Well, this didn’t go quite as I had anticipated. I thought we would get a nice pick ’em number, maybe it moves to Cavs -1, and then wouldn’t you know it, Game 6 happens. Kevin Love gets clocked in the face by Jayson Tatum, and now he’s out and the number has gone haywire. How unfortunate.


OTHER CAVS-CELTICS GAME 7 COVERAGE


Any hope I had of taking Boston is now ruined by the number. I just don’t see a lot of value in what I think will be a close game a lot of the time. Although I’m passing there, I am intrigued by the under (currently 199.5) for a variety of reasons. First, the loss of Love is going to be felt much more on the offensive end. Remember, this is a Cavs team that couldn’t get to 85 points the last time it was in Boston. Now the only other person I’d trust to score on the road besides LeBron James is out as well.

I’ve talked about it all series long — the difference in these games is that the role players for each team get totally out of their comfort zone in the opposing arena and find an entirely new energy at home. It’s the most polarizing series I’ve ever seen in that way; we’ve seen this type of thing before, but never to this degree. Now I’m getting a total only 1.5 to 2 points lower than the Game 5 close, with a key offensive piece out for one of the teams, and the added anxiety/nervousness of a Game 7 that may produce a slow start.

I think this total is a little too high, and I’m playing the under, hoping for an ugly, physical game, and Cleveland having to work really hard to manufacture any non-LeBron scoring.