While we don’t have public bet percentages on specific player props, we do have them for the spreads and over/unders of each game. By identifying discrepancies between the percentage of betting tickets and percentage of money in a particular game, we can find situations where the books may be undervaluing teams, and by relation, players, in certain spots.
With that in mind, here are three props from Wednesday night’s slate that are worth considering:
- Thaddeus Young over/under 12 points (@ CLE) — 7 p.m. ET
- Joe Ingles over/under 5.5 assists (@ OKC) — 8 p.m. ET
- Karl-Anthony Towns over/under 3.5 free throws made (@ HOU) — 10:30 p.m. ET
All lines accurate as of 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 18. Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs Player Props tool.
Pacers F Thaddeus Young Under 12 Points at Cavaliers (-130 at BetOnline)
7 p.m. ET | TNT
Young had just a 7.4% usage rate in Game 1, getting off four shots and scoring only seven points in 31:19 of playing time. Young has scored fewer than 12 points in 14 of 24 games (58.3%) since the All-Star Break, averaging 10.9 over that span. He also averages 1.4 fewer points per game on the road than at home this season. The majority of spread tickets are on the Pacers in this game, but the majority of spread money is on the Cavs, an indication that the market may be overreacting to Indiana’s Game 1 victory. Not only that, but the majority of over/under tickets have come in on the over, yet the majority of money is on the under. And if you think Cleveland wins tonight, that’s another reason to bet the under here, as Young averages 2.3 fewer points per game in losses than he does in wins.