The Chicago Bulls (24-25) and Miami Heat (26-24) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. ET from the Kaseya Center in Miami, Fla. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Heat are 4-point favorites over the Bulls on the spread (Heat -4), with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. Miami is a -170 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Chicago is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Bulls vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, February 1.
Bulls vs Heat Prediction, Picks
- Bulls vs Heat pick: Heat Moneyline (-170)
My Heat vs. Bulls best bet is on Miami moneyline at -170, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Bulls vs Heat Odds
| Bulls Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
Bulls vs Heat NBA Preview
The NBA moneyline betting system titled "Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (SEASON)" identifies regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics — a profile that often appears when a capable home team like the Heat is priced conservatively against a defense that has struggled to maintain consistency such as the Bulls.
When a team's underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents that allow high scoring efficiency like the Bulls in this spot.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that suggest parity but fail to fully account for the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Bulls vs Heat Predictions, Betting Analysis
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance, while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.
Overall, the system stands at 319-225-0 (59%) with a 4% ROI across all-time results. This season, it's 40-25-0 (62%) with an 11% ROI.
So, let's back the Heat to win this game over Chicago at -170.
Pick: Heat Moneyline (-170)
Spread
We will not be betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
My Heat vs. Bulls betting prediction is on Miami moneyline at -170.
Over/Under
No play on the total here.
Heat vs Bulls Betting Trends
