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NBA Playoff Odds: Will the Warriors Make the Postseason?

NBA Playoff Odds: Will the Warriors Make the Postseason? article feature image

Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors.

Golden State Warriors NBA Playoff Odds

Current PlaceNo. 10 
Data as of Tuesday, odds via FanDuel

The Golden State Warriors go as Stephen Curry goes. Unlike previous seasons, there’s no Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant, or Andre Iguodala, and most of the other role players who proved that there is strength in numbers are gone.

Curry is the only player who matters for this team. The Warriors are scoring 113.6 points per 100 possessions with him on the floor and 100.9 points with him off.

While the Warriors are essentially a one-man offensive show, they rank seventh in Defensive Rating, holding opposing teams to 111.1 points per 100 possessions in their non-garbage-time minutes, according to Cleaning the Glass. As long as the Warriors can get a solid offensive output from someone outside of Curry on one of his more human shooting nights, they can compete on a nightly basis.

Entering Tuesday, the Warriors sit 10th in the West, a half game behind the Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs for the eighth spot, with 11 games to play — and they play the Grizzlies in the final game of the season. They’ll play four road games during their final push, but they do have the fourth-easiest remaining strength of schedule in the West.

With two games against the Oklahoma City Thunder, three against the New Orleans Pelicans and matchups with the Houston Rockets, Minnesota Timberwolves, the bulk of the Warriors’ schedule comes against teams with records below .500. The Warriors have made a living beating up bad teams; they’re 16-7 against teams below .500 and 15-24 against teams above .500.

Over the past few days, their odds to make the playoffs have moved from +110 to -106 at FanDuel. I think the Warriors have a good chance at not only making the play-in game but taking the eighth seed in the conference.

Lean: Yes

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