Hawks vs. 76ers NBA Betting Picks & Predictions: Our Staff’s Best Bets for Game 7 (Sunday, June 20)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers standout Seth Curry.
- Another Game 7 in the NBA playoffs is upon us, with Philadelphia hosting Atlanta in the Eastern Conference semifinals.
- Kenny Ducey and Brandon Anderson each have a best bet for this matchup, where the Sixers are 7-point favorites.
- Check out their picks, which include an angle on the total and the other on a side, below.
We have another night of what should be more NBA drama and excitement, with the Atlanta Hawks taking on the Philadelphia 76ers in the latest Game 7 Eastern Conference showdown.
As you probably guessed, the Sixers are heavy favorites to book their spot in the conference finals, where the winner will face the Milwaukee Bucks. Currently, Philadelphia is a 7-point favorite on the spread line and -275 on the moneyline.
In Saturday’s other conference-semifinal matchup, Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks advanced with a Game 7 overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets.
Basketball analysts Kenny Ducey and Brandon Anderson have you covered with their best bets for the Hawks vs. Sixers contest, with one targeting the total and the other focusing on a side. Let’s check out their picks.
NBA Odds & Picks
Atlanta Hawks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Kenny Ducey: In my research ahead of this game, I actually found the total seems to go both ways in Game 7s, and if anything, the over has been the better play. It seems the narrative that scoring will slow because there’s so much on the line is nothing more than a fallacy.
That being said, I see the under as strong play. Taking away the narrative here, we can say for certain that the Sixers’ defense has risen to the occasion in this series against a very dangerous Atlanta team.
After just missing out on the regular-season defensive efficiency crown by 0.2 points per 100 possessions, the Sixers have allowed just 107.9 points per 100 possession this postseason against two offenses with legitimate weapons. Trae Young has had his moments, but Atlanta’s shooters have been pedestrian for the majority of the series, with the exception of a few great halves.
On the other side of the ball, though, the Sixers have really struggled to find their identity. Without Danny Green, and with some mediocre play from Tobias Harris, Seth Curry has become this team’s secondary scoring option. Seth Curry! I have always been a believer, but it speaks to how this team has nothing on offense without Joel Embiid. So, too, does the fact that Tyrese Maxey was dusted off in Game 6 to play 30 minutes.
I love both of those guys, but it’s hard to say this offense is going to light up Atlanta considering how many question marks there are. That’s not even mentioning that Embiid’s still hampered by a knee injury as well. All signs point to another under and a rock fight in Philadelphia.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Brandon Anderson: Oh baby. One last Game 7 to wrap up what turned out to be a wild, unpredictable, and epic second round of NBA playoff action.
The Phoenix Suns easily advanced in what feels like multiple seasons ago, but the other two series went long and were both won by the underdog with huge road victories late in the series. I’m betting on one more to wrap the round.
Let me be clear. This isn’t saying the Atlanta Hawks are the better team. They decisively are not at this point. When Joel Embiid plays, looks healthy and engaged, the Sixers have looked utterly dominant at times. It’s totally normal for Philadelphia to win a half by double digits when things are clicking like this in the series.
Seth Curry has been knocking down every shot. Tobias Harris has stepped up at times. And now, Tyrese Maxey might be the X factor. The Sixers are at home with a raucous crowd, and the host wins nearly 80% of all Game 7s.
Philadelphia is absolutely the favorite here, and the Sixers should win. In fact, I considered taking Philadelphia at an alternate higher line. It’s totally plausible that Philly blows Atlanta off the court. The Sixers have done that to the Hawks at times this series, making it look like a mismatch. And it’s very typical for Game 7s to be cagey for awhile, and then the home team goes on a big third-quarter run and the visitors run out of gas. And that’s that.
If you’re following this pick, you need to know that that’s a very realistic outcome and that this bet looks bad.
However, the key is the price. At +250 odds, the Hawks are being given an implied 29% chance to win this game and I just don’t know how we can give them such low odds at this point of the series. We’ve seen how Trae Young can get hot, then slice and dice this defense. And we know he’s not going to blink under the pressure of Game 7 on the road.
We’ve witnessed Kevin Huerter and John Collins have big moments, and we’ve seen the Hawks go on big runs and take the Sixers’ crowd out of it. We have also seen Philadelphia go ice cold. We’ve seen Ben Simmons get totally taken out of the game, and we’ve seen Joel Embiid just “not have it” some nights when the fatigue sets in or that knee bothers him.
There are just too many outs for Atlanta to not take it at +250. And honestly, I won’t be afraid to wait a little and/or add to my position early in the game even if Atlanta falls behind early.
Seven of the last nine playoff games have been won by the team trailing at the half, and this series has been defined by big runs. I think there’s a pretty decent chance the Hawks go down early, as Embiid is at his best and the crowd is involved. So, feel free to wait and bet this at an even longer number in the first half.
Maybe something like Philly goes up eight to 10 points and now your odds might be doubled or better. The Sixers can blow any lead or go cold at any time.
Of all the possible outcomes, I still think a Philadelphia blowout win is the most likely of all. However, given the odds set before me, I have to give the Hawks a better chance than this +250 price, so I’m rolling the dice and backing the underdogs. You should as well.
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