The Miami Heat (27-26) and Washington Wizards (14-37) will face off in the NBA on Sunday afternoon. Tipoff is set for 2:00 p.m. ET from Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Heat are 10.5-point favorites over the Wizards on the spread (Heat -10.5), with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. Miami is a -500 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is +375 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Heat vs. Wizards predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, February 8.
- Heat vs Wizards pick: Heat -10.5 (-110)
Our Wizards vs. Heat best bet is on Miami to cover the spread at -10.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs Wizards Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | -500 |
| Wizards Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | +375 |
Heat vs Wizards NBA Preview
The NBA system titled "Fading Tired Home Teams" targets regular season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect to create an edge for visiting teams such as the Heat in Sunday's matchup against the Wizards.
Home teams like the Wizards that have played multiple games in a short span, often three or more within five days, tend to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.
The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.
Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm like the Heat, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.
Heat vs Wizards Predictions, Betting Analysis
This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes.
So, let's take the Heat -10.5 on the road against the Wizards on Sunday afternoon.

Pick: Heat -10.5 (-110)
Spread
Our Wizards vs. Heat betting prediction is on Miami to cover the spread at -10.5
Moneyline
We will be targeting the Heat to cover the spread instead of the moneyline in this spot.
Over/Under
No play on the total here.
Wizards vs Heat Betting Trends


















