Moore: Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Take Advantage of Portland’s Defensive Flaws?

Dec 18, 2018 9:00 PM EST
Credit:

Kelvin Kuo, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is sliding under the radar as one of the most impressive rookies of this class. He’s contributing big minutes in a key role for a team that’s in the playoff hunt, and has flashed far more than what was expected of his draft profile.

The prop opened at Over/Under 10 points and our FantasyLabs player prop model gave the over a bet quality rating of 10.

The line has since moved to 10.5, lowering the bet quality to 7. Do the analytics and film suggest there still could be value on backing Gilgeous-Alexander to hit 11 points?

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
228.5
-11
228.5
-11
229
-5.5
228
-5
223.5
-2
223.5
-2
-6
228.5
-6
228.5

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