Monday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Parlay James Harden and Reggie Bullock in Game 2 (April 18)

Monday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Parlay James Harden and Reggie Bullock in Game 2 (April 18) article feature image

David Dow/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: James Harden #1 of the Philadelphia 76ers celebrates against the Toronto Raptors.

Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.

Enter: PrizePicks.

With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.

You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.

Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.

What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.

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NBA PrizePicks Props Parlay

James Harden Over 11 Assists

After a very impressive game one, James Harden and the 76ers look to go up 2-0 against a shorthanded Raptors team tonight. Harden has really brought this offense to another level with the way he is passing the ball recently. He is averaging 13.3 assists per game in his last six games including their last game.

This PrizePicks prop seems too low for Harden. He is a -145 favorite to get over 10.5 assists on DraftKings as our model has him projected for a modest 11.9 assists tonight. The Raptors present some defensive concerns, but playing without Scottie Barnes and Gary Trent Jr. mitigates those concerns.

If this prop does move to 11.5 assists, I would still take the over. Harden is in a great spot to continue to lead this 76ers offense with his passing abilities.

Reggie Bullock Under 12.5 Points

The Dallas Mavericks are implied for only 100.25 points which is the lowest on the slate as they are 5.5-home underdogs against the Utah Jazz looking to avoid falling down 0-2. The major problem is they are without Luka Doncic who provides so many open looks for role players like Reggie Bullock.

In 11 games without Doncic this season, Bullock is only averaging 6.8 points per game. That is substantially lower than this PrizePicks prop line. Putting this prop at 11.5 points makes more sense as 78.4% of Bullocks field goal attempts come from behind the arc. Our model has him projected for 11.4 points tonight.

I would also consider taking the under even if this prop moved to 12 or 11.5 points. The Mavericks are in a really tough spot without Doncic in the lineup, and Bullock's first game in this series feels like a bit of a fluke. Take the under.

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Daniel Preciado
Jun 20, 2024 UTC