NBA Sharp Report: Warriors vs. Timberwolves, 2 Other Games Drawing Pro Money
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Eric Paschall and Ky Bowman.
- Sharp action is hitting tonight's NBA slate on three games in particular.
- The tools at The Action Network reveal how pros are betting Warriors-Timberwolves and two other matchups.
Tonight’s Cavaliers vs. Wizards game is not one most folks are going to want to watch. That is, of course, unless you bet on it.
And you know what, people are betting on it, believe it or not. Sharps, too, and do you know why? Because sharps don’t give a hoot and holler which teams are playing as long as there’s value.
Let’s look at tonight’s sharpest NBA bets.
Odds as of Friday at 12 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET
In a battle between two bad teams, one might expect there to be few points scored. Instead, sharps are expecting their poor defenses to lead to points galore.
Since opening, nearly 90% of the money has come in on the over. This has caused the total to spike from 227 to 232, and even 232.5 at some books.
Washington’s defensive rating of 112.5 ranks 27th in the league, while Cleveland isn’t much better, coming in at 23rd.
If the total closes at 232 or higher, it would be the fifth instance of one rising at least five points from open to close this season per Bet Labs, with the previous four going 2-1-1 to the over.
The over has done well historically too, going 206-162-7 (56%) since 2005.
Sharp Angle: Over (moved from 227 to 232) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans
8 p.m. ET
The Pelicans’ season is already looking like a lost cause and it’s not even Thanksgiving. Zion is sidelined for the indefinite future and his teammates have managed to go just 1-6 so far without him. Is it time to panic?
Well, you’re probably already panicking if you’re a Pels fan, but sharp bettors aren’t worrying too much about tonight’s game vs. the Raptors.
The Kawhi-less reigning champs are off to a solid 5-2 start and are understandably road favorites vs. the inept Pelicans. Gobs of bettors have lined up to take the Raptors (79%), but the sharps are doing their best to keep them at bay.
While nearly four out of five bets have been on Toronto, New Orleans is getting 70% of the money. There has also been a reverse line move on the Pelicans, which is a strong indicator of professional action.
Normally, a team getting that high of a bet percentage would see the line move in its favor. However, with sharps taking a stance on New Orleans, the line has held pat at the opening number of +2.5.
Sharp Angle: Pelicans (line freeze at +2.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
8 p.m. ET
Speaking about “lost causes” and “panicking,” the Warriors visit the Timberwolves tonight in Minnesota. One day you’re wearing a Kevin Durant jersey and next thing you know you’re ordering an Eric Paschall jersey … whirlwind couple of months for Warriors fans.
Golden State is actually expected to have D’Angelo Russell back tonight, but is still a double-digit dog. After a solid win vs. Portland, the Warriors failed to cover a lofty spread against the Rockets on Wednesday.
Sharps have their back tonight though, expecting Russell, Paschall, Alec Burks and the rest of the bunch to put up a respectable fight.
After initially moving from +11 to +11.5, big bucks on the Warriors have moved their line back down to the opening number. They are seeing more public support than the Pelicans (39%), and have also seen more than half of the cash (54%).
Surprisingly enough, more than three-quarters of moneyline bettors are even taking a shot at another big upset (between +500 and +600). The Wolves are off to a solid start, but this ragtag Golden State crew might be undervalued thanks to public overreaction following Steph Curry’s injury.
Sharp Angle: Warriors (moved from +11.5 to +11) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]