The New Orleans Pelicans (0-3) and Denver Nuggets (2-1) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. The game will broadcast live on ALT.
The Nuggets are 13-point favorites over the Pelicans on the spread (Nuggets -13), with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. The Nuggets are -750 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Pelicans are +525 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Pelicans vs. Nuggets predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, October 29.
My Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction
- Pelicans vs Nuggets pick: Pelicans +13 (-110)
My Pelicans vs Nuggets best bet is on New Orleans to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Pelicans vs Nuggets Odds
| Pelicans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | +525 |
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13 -110 | 235.5 -110o / -110u | -750 |
Pelicans vs Nuggets NBA Preview
The Nuggets have started the season in solid form — Jokic and Jamal Murray are looking sharp, and Aaron Gordon continues to do the dirty work.
It’s a healthy, complete roster — an underrated advantage — only waiting for the return of Cameron Johnson (shoulder).
For now, the departure of Michael Porter Jr. doesn’t seem to be affecting Denver.
On the other hand, Zion Williamson’s Pelicans can’t seem to find their rhythm. Injuries are once again an issue for Zion, who’s listed as questionable for tonight’s game.
Kevon Looney remains out for a few more weeks, while Dejounte Murray is expected to be sidelined until at least New Year’s (Achilles), according to Shams.
With a 0-3 record, New Orleans needs to get a win soon before this losing streak snowballs.
The Pelicans’ poor start isn’t just reflected in their win-loss record — they’ve also been the worst team in the league ATS (0-2-1), failing to cover by an average of -9.8 points per game.
The Nuggets, on the other hand, are covering at an impressive 66.7% rate, making them an “easy bet” — but one with little value at the current lines.
Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' Bad ATS Teams, Good Bet system targets, as the name suggests, NBA teams that have performed poorly against the spread early or midseason but are likely undervalued by the market.
When a team consistently fails to cover, public sentiment drives lines too far in the opposite direction, creating value once expectations become overly negative.
These teams are not necessarily bad on the court but often underperform relative to inflated spreads or situational disadvantages that no longer apply.
As the season progresses past the first few games, betting markets adjust slowly to short-term trends, leading to inefficiencies that favor these underperforming teams.
In essence, this approach capitalizes on market overreactions by backing teams that bettors and oddsmakers have repeatedly discounted.
Pick: Pelicans +13 (-110)
Nuggets vs Pelicans Betting Trends
