Sunday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Kawhi Leonard Rebounds, More
John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Toronto Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard (2).
- Sunday's two-game NBA slate features two player prop bet providing value
- This piece will focus on Raptors SF Kawhi Leonard and Blazers SF Moe Harkless
Sunday’s best NBA player props will focus on both of today’s playoff games:
- Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers: 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC
- Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers: 7 p.m. ET on TNT
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 1:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.
Raptors SF Kawhi Leonard
The Pick: Over 7.5 Rebounds (-105)
Leonard ripped down just four rebounds in his last game, which is creating a nice opportunity to buy the over on his current rebounding prop. He pulled down at least seven boards in each of his first two games in the series, including 11 in Game 1.
He should also be one of the largest beneficiaries on the glass if Pascal Siakam is unable to suit up. Leonard has seen a team-high rebound rate increase of +2.2% with Siakam off the court this season, resulting in an average of 7.3 rebounds per 36 minutes. He’s currently projected for 43.5 minutes in the FantasyLabs NBA Models, so he should have plenty of opportunities to hit the glass in this contest.
This prop is a slam dunk if Siakam is ruled out, and I’d play it up to -135 in that situation. It still offers some value if Siakam plays — he would likely be extremely limited in that case — but I wouldn’t play it above -105.
Blazers SF Moe Harkless
The Pick: Under 9.5 Points (-110)
Game 4 between the Blazers and Nuggets is an extremely tough one to handicap. They’re coming off a grueling quadruple overtime contest, and it’s tough to gauge just how much each player will be effected heading into tonight’s contest. With that in mind, I’d probably lean on the unders if you’re looking to bet props in this contest.
The under on Harkless’ scoring prop stands out for me. He was questionable for Game 3 with an ankle injury but ultimately suited up and scored 15 points in 45 minutes. That’s creating a bit of value on the under tonight. He scored just seven total points through his first 37 minutes in the series, and he averaged just 7.7 points per game during the regular season.
This prop has a Bet Quality of 10 in the Player Prop tool, and I’d be willing to play it up to -125.