The Alabama Crimson Tide take on the St. John's Red Storm in college baseball's Super Regionals at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 7. The game will be broadcast on ESPN2.
Alabama enters as a favorite of -500 on the moneyline and is -3.5 (-132) on the run line. St. John's, meanwhile, enters as a +340 underdog and is +3.5 (+104) on the run line. The over/under sits at 10.5 total runs (-120o / -104u).
Let's dive into my Alabama vs St. John's prediction and college baseball picks for the Tuscaloosa Super Regional on Sunday, June 7.
Alabama vs St. John's Prediction
- Alabama vs St. John's Pick: Under 11.5 (Play to 10.5)
My St. John's vs. Alabama best bet is on both teams to go under the total Game 2 of the Tuscaloosa Super Regional.
Alabama vs St. John's Odds
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -132 | 10.5 -120o / -104u | -500 |
| St. John's Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 +104 | 10.5 -120o / -104u | +340 |
Alabama vs St. John's Pick, Betting Analysis
The angle I projected from my Tuscaloosa Super Regional preview for Sunday's Game 2 between Alabama and St. John's has come to fruition. The projected matchup features Evan Chaffee for the Red Storm against Zane Adams for the Crimson Tide.
Adams has been a steady weekend starter for Alabama, delivering quality outings with strikeout stuff against tough SEC competition. Chaffee, meanwhile, brings a comparable profile with solid strikeout numbers.
This sets up a favorable pitching battle in a hitter-friendly park that often plays tougher in elimination-style scenarios.
Alabama boasts some of the best starting rotation depth in the tournament. At home in front of a passionate crowd, it can lean on pitching to dictate the pace rather than forcing offense.
St. John's Cinderella run relied on crafty arms and timely hitting to upset Florida State, but its bats face a major step up against SEC-level talent. Road games like this typically compress scoring for overachieving teams, as we saw in Game 1.
Alabama rolled to an 8-0 blowout in Game 1. That often leads to a tighter follow-up as the favorite closes out the series.
The total sits around 10.5-11.5, which is inflated given the talent on the mound and how the pitching will be handled in this matchup.
Pick: Under 11.5 (Play to 10.5)
