The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the UCF Knights in a Big 12 college baseball battle at 6:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 1. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+.
Arizona State enters as a favorite of -160 on the moneyline and is -1.5 (+135) on the run line. UCF, meanwhile, enters as a +124 underdog and is +1.5 (-175) on the run line. The over/under sits at 8 total runs (-115o / -115u).
Let's dive into my Arizona State vs UCF prediction and NCAA baseball picks for Friday, May 1.
Arizona State vs UCF Prediction
- Arizona State vs UCF Pick: Arizona State ML -125
My UCF vs. Arizona State best bet is on the Sun Devils to win the game outright.
Arizona State vs UCF Odds
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 9.5 -115o / -115u | -125 |
| UCF Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -166 | 9.5 -115o / -115u | -105 |
Arizona State vs UCF Pick, Betting Analysis
The Sun Devils have been rolling as they come into this series, winning seven of their last 10 ballgames. As we've seen with this Arizona State team, when it hits, it has the potential to take down any team in its path.
Arizona State has averaged 9.1 runs per game in its most recent 10-game stretch, and it's poised to stay hot against UCF tonight.
While doing so on paper seems tough against Knights ace Mateo Gray, he doesn't profile for much success against the powerful bats in the Sun Devils' order.
His xFIP of 5.49 is a bit more telling than his season ERA of 4.40. If Gray isn't at his best, the Knights' bullpen hasn't been great behind him this season, and we could see the Sun Devils pour it on.
Of course, this is all in support of Arizona State starter Cole Carlon.
Carlon is one of the most electric left-handers in the country. Although he has been inconsistent this season, his high strikeout upside should shine through against a UCF lineup that lacks the pop to put up crooked numbers.
There's a large gap on the mound in this one, and the Sun Devils' hot bats will only amplify it. Back Arizona State to take this series opener.
Pick: Arizona State ML -125
