The 2026 NCAA College Baseball Tournament bracket is here.
Over the next week, 64 teams will battle it out in 16 double-elimination style tournaments, our Regionals, for 16 spots in the Super Regionals.
Odds for the winners of these four-team pods are out now. Let’s find a couple of college baseball tournament best bets to win some Regionals.
Because of the volatility in college baseball, make sure to shop prices. You can artificially drop theoretical holds down to as low as 3.5% in these markets with a little bit of poking around.
Let's take a look at my college baseball picks and NCAA Tournament predictions for this week's Regionals.
College Baseball Picks, Predictions for NCAA Regionals
West Virginia Mountaineers
-105 to Win Morgantown Regional
The No. 16 national seed is supposed to draw the toughest region, naturally, as they’re paired up with the No. 17 national seed.
In this case, West Virginia (No. 10 Diamond Sports Rating) hosts Wake Forest (No. 20 RPI), Kentucky (No. 37 RPI) and Binghamton (No. 182 KPI). The Mountaineers average 12.7 among DSR, RPI,and KPI metrics. In other words, they’re underseeded.
Kentucky was a "Last Four In" pick, bumping out Mercer and TCU, teams the general consensus believes were snubbed of a postseason spot.
As a result, you can buy WVU at a discount, hovering right around even at open. According to PEAR Ratings, the Mountaineers have a 60.7% likelihood of advancing out of their own region (fair value -154), a 9.5% discount.
Pick: West Virginia to Win Morgantown Regional (-105 · DraftKings)
Tennessee Volunteers
+400 to Win Chapel Hill Regional
Tennessee drew a No. 3 seed in the Chapel Hill Regional despite an average national ranking of 23.7 among DSR, RPI and KPI metrics.
The Volunteers have a low ranking of 31st (RPI), which is the fourth-best among No. 3 seeds behind Ole Miss, Missouri State and Jacksonville State.
You can buy Tennessee at +400 (more available at +350), which is nearly a 7% discount from its projection to advance (26.9%).
East Carolina was selected as the No. 2 seed in this Regional and stands as the most overvalued No. 2 seed in the tournament.
ECU suffered preseason injuries to its pitching rotation and, though it has found good success without those talents, the Pirates bring a 5.34 xFIP that ranks 27th in the field of 64.
North Carolina deserves to be a notable favorite in its own region — you’d have to go back to 2017 to find the last time UNC was defeated in its own Regional (shoutout Davidson) — but Tennessee is a nice upset pick with enticing odds.
Pick: Tennessee to Win Chapel Hill Regional (+400 · theScore Bet)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
+100 to Win Hattiesburg Regional
Southern Miss has won 40-plus games in 10 straight seasons under Christian Ostrander — perhaps the most impressive run in the country.
The last time Hattiesburg hosted a regional was 2022, when the Golden Eagles won but were upended by eventual national champion Ole Miss in the Super Regionals.
The No. 9 national seed gets a tough draw with the likes of Virginia (26.7 average ranking), Jacksonville State (25 average, third-best among No. 3 seeds) and even Little Rock (100.7, third-best among No. 4 seeds).
But calling this a 50/50 chance is shortchanging a truly premier team in Southern Miss.
The Golden Eagles scheduled a gauntlet of a nonconference slate this year and went a combined 26-11 against Quad 1 and 2 teams (9-7 vs. Quad 1). USM beat the likes of UCSB, Oregon State, Mississippi State and Ole Miss throughout the course of the season.
You’re buying Southern Miss at nearly a 7% discount with even odds.
Pick: Southern Miss to Win Hattiesburg Regional (+100 · DraftKings)
Georgia Bulldogs
-370 to Win Athens Regional
OK, I know, it’s not exciting to lay -370. But when you have an edge, you bet that edge.
UGA hosts Boston College, Liberty and Long Island in the Athens Regional. Long Island is the third-to-worst team in the field of 64, Boston College is the fourth-worst No. 2 seed, and Liberty is enticing but didn’t win Conference USA.
The Flames are overpriced by 10.5%, with odds that suggest a 16% probability of advancing out of the Athens Regional. Liberty went 10-11 against Quad 1 teams and 3-8 against the top 31 other seeds in this tournament.
The Dawgs really should be priced closer to Texas (-700), Georgia Tech (-700) and UCLA (-900). Fair value for the No. 4 team in DSR comes out to -635 — that’s a 7.7% discrepancy.
Pick: Georgia to Win Athens Regional (-370 · DraftKings)
