The Liberty Flames take on the Boston College Eagles in college baseball's 2026 NCAA Tournament at 2 p.m. ET on Friday, May 29. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+.
Liberty enters as a favorite of -125 on the moneyline and is -1.5 (+135) on the run line. Boston College, meanwhile, enters as a -105underdog and is +1.5 (-175) on the run line. The over/under sits at 10.5 total runs (-115o / -115u).
Let's dive into my Liberty vs Boston College prediction and NCAA baseball picks for Friday, May 29.
East Carolina vs Tennessee Prediction
- Liberty vs Boston College Pick: Liberty ML -125
My Boston College vs. Liberty best bet is on the Flames to win the game outright.
Liberty vs Boston College Odds
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 10.5 -115o / -115u | -125 |
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 10.5 -115o / -115u | -105 |
Liberty vs Boston College Pick, Betting Analysis
Using aggregated win probabilities for this postseason (PEAR Ratings, College Baseball Insiders, Margin), Liberty’s fair value should be at -185 for this game, a 10% improvement over the posted odds.
The Flames take on a Boston College team that dropped seven of its last eight games, including two out of three to Clemson, which sat firmly outside the Field of 64.
Liberty, meanwhile, finished the season 10-11 against Quad 1 RPI teams and averages a 33.7 ranking between RPI, DSR and KPI metrics.
The Flames do have a reliable phase of the game — their 5.19 xFIP ranks 20th in the field and second-best among No. 3 seeds — and their starting rotation of Jaxon Lucas, Ben Blair and Bradley Zayac is outstanding.
Liberty is handily the second-best team in the Athens Regional and should contend for the runner-up spot thanks to that rotation.
In my estimation, and in the estimation of several ratings, Liberty is the superior team here.
Pick: Liberty ML -125
