The Troy Trojans take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in the 2026 College World Series at 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday, June 16. The game will be broadcast on ESPN.
West Virginia enters as a favorite of -230 on the moneyline and is -2.5 (-115) on the run line. Troy, meanwhile, enters as a +175 underdog and is +2.5 (-115) on the run line. The over/under sits at 13.5 total runs (-120o / -110u).
Let's dive into my Troy vs West Virginia prediction and college baseball picks for the College World Series on Tuesday, June 16.
Troy vs West Virginia Prediction
- Troy vs West Virginia Pick: Over 12.5 (Play to 13.5)
My West Virginia vs Troy best bet is on both teams to go over the total in this College World Series matchup.
Troy vs West Virginia Odds
| Troy Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -115 | 13.5 -120o / -110u | +175 |
| West Virginia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 13.5 -120o / -110u | -230 |
Troy vs West Virginia Pick, Betting Analysis
The Troy Trojans have continued to surprise us all postseason long. However, it's clear they're not your typical Cinderella. This team is legit and has just as much offense as any other team on their side of the bracket.
Their win over Ole Miss was a statement and a major confidence boost. That win marked their first win in Omaha in program history, and now they have a shot at a West Virginia team they almost upset in the first game of the College World Series.
It's no coincidence that the total for this matchup is listed at 12.5 after the first meeting between these teams ended with 12 runs. However, this matchup is poised to exceed that number for two big reasons.
The first is the wind. We've seen the wind play a huge role in the scoring this past week, and it's going to continue to be a big factor this afternoon. Winds are projected to gust up to 20 mph out toward left field.
Secondly, the pitching in this matchup will be downgraded compared to the opener. West Virginia is starting Dawson Montesa, who holds a 5.78 ERA, and Troy is going with Cooper Ellingworth, whose ERA is worse at 6.15.
While it's possible we could see each of the starters from Friday come in relief, both lineups had success, and that may not put out the fire as each manager would hope.
Take the over. These teams will trade haymakers in an effort to play another day.
Pick: Over 12.5 (Play to 13.5)
