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The Texas Longhorns take on the Baylor Bears in San Antonio, Texas. Tip-off is set for 3 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Texas is favored by -5.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -230. The total is set at 160.5 points.
Here’s my Texas vs. Baylor prediction and college basketball picks for November 15, 2026.
Texas vs Baylor Prediction
Pick: Baylor +5.5 (Play to +4.5)
My Texas vs Baylor best bet is on the Bears to cover the spread. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Texas vs Baylor Odds
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | -230 |
| Baylor Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | +188 |
- Texas vs Baylor spread: Texas -5.5 (-110), Baylor +5.5 (-110)
- Texas vs Baylor over/under: 160.5 (-110 / -110)
- Texas vs Baylor moneyline: Texas -230, Baylor +188
Texas vs Baylor College Basketball Preview
Texas Basketball
Texas is off to a phenomenal start to head coach Sean Miller’s second year at the helm, absolutely dismantling its first three opponents of the season — collectively prevailing by a 43-point margin on average.
Following an impressive result to Miller’s first season with the Longhorns (a Sweet 16 appearance), they were forced to overhaul their entire roster after losing Dailyn Swain.
Texas landed several highly-touted freshmen with third-ranked Marcus Spears Jr., Austin Goosby (No. 21) and Bo Ogden (No. 50) to round out an impressive 2026 class.
Matas Vokietaitis has quickly established himself as one of the premier bigs in all of college basketball, with the Lithuanian already posting an exceptional 21.3 points per game while also converting at an exceptional 79.3% clip from the field (eighth nationally).
The junior has also been a monster on the glass, grabbing 7.3 rebounds per contest.
The Longhorns also acquired a long list of contributors via the portal, including Isaiah Johnson, David Punch, Elyjah Freeman and Amari Evans.
Miller prioritized adding length and defensive toughness across every position while also emphasizing the Longhorns’ need for lengthy wings who thrive at both ends of the floor.
Baylor Basketball
It was quite the offseason for the Bears, as they had to overhaul the majority of their roster from last season following an uncharacteristic sub-.500 campaign.
After losing last season’s top scorers in Cameron Carr and Tounde Yessoufou, Scott Drew reloaded his rotation with a mix of key returning contributors and a high-impact portal-class, in addition to several elite incoming freshmen.
The Bears are paced by an explosive guard tandem in the Mingo brothers — Kayden and Dylan — who combine to average 30 points and five steals per game this season.
Kayden leads Baylor with 15 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, but his younger brother — Dylan — (11th-ranked in the 2026 class) has excelled over the first three games.
Like his older brother, Dylan is also posting 15 points per game and has recorded 5.7 rebounds, along with four assists on average.
Drew also secured Brett Decker Jr., Isaac Celiscar and senior forward Evan Chatman.
Texas vs Baylor Pick, Betting Analysis
Given both teams in this matchup played much inferior programs over the first three games of the season, this will be an extremely difficult challenge for both Texas and Baylor.
Despite how highly the Longhorns were ranked heading into the season, this could be a very tough matchup for Miller’s Texas bunch given the athleticism and versatility boasted by the Bears.
While Vokietaitis has been quite impressive thus far, this will be a far more difficult matchup for the junior big, as Baylor features 6-foot-11 center Juslin Bodo Bodo and Chatman on the interior.
I'm willing to take a shot on Baylor +5 in a game I expect to be very closely contested for 40 minutes and could certainly go down to the wire.
Pick: Baylor +5.5 (Play to +4.5)
