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The Boise State Broncos take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers in Sioux Falls, SD. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET on BTN.
Nebraska is favored by 9.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -410. The total is set at 158.5 points.
Here’s my Boise State vs. Nebraska prediction and college basketball picks for November 15, 2026.
Boise State vs Nebraska Prediction
Pick: Boise State +9.5 (Play to +6.5)
My Boise State vs Nebraska best bet is on the Broncos to cover the spread. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Boise State vs Nebraska Odds
| Boise State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -105 | 158.5 -105o / -115u | +320 |
| Nebraska Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -115 | 158.5 -105o / -115u | -410 |
- Boise State vs Nebraska spread: Boise State +9.5 (-105), Nebraska -9.5 (-115)
- Boise State vs Nebraska over/under: 158.5 (-105 / -115)
- Boise State vs Nebraska moneyline: Boise State +320, Nebraska -410
Boise State vs Nebraska College Basketball Preview
Nebraska Basketball
How could you not be impressed by the Fred Hoiberg era in Lincoln? He flipped one of the worst high-majors in the country to a consistent tournament threat. Last season, the Huskers made the Sweet 16 and have their sights set higher in 2027.
Last season, it took until mid-January for the Huskers to crack 13th or better in KenPom. The analytics believe in this team more than last season.
I’m not sure I do, despite Nebraska winning each game by double digits thus far.
Nebraska is thriving on the defensive end, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency, per KenPom. I see some staying power there, given it forces turnovers 24% of the time (10th) and holds teams to 46% shooting on 2s (83rd). Those are the two stats that are major indicators of defensive success in the future.
One that is more luck-based is 3-point defense. Nebraska is “holding” teams to 23% shooting from deep, including limiting Providence to 7-for-38 from deep last Saturday. Teams will eventually make shots against Nebraska, and that number will level out to the 30% range — at best. That’s just college basketball.
Offensively, Hoiberg wants his team to spread the floor and launch from deep. The Huskers are attempting 3s over 50% of the time and hitting on just 33% of them. However, they’re shooting 67% from inside the arc, which allows them to be 24th in offensive efficiency.
Five Cornhuskers average 10+ points per game, led by Pryce Sandfort’s 22. I'm most concerned with a potential Braden Frager sophomore slump — he’s shooting 32% from the field and 16% from deep.
How about the point guard situation? Sam Hoiberg was ultra steady last season. This season, Nebraska entrusted Trevan Leonhardt, who’s struggling so far. The Huskers are mostly relying on another former walk-on in Cale Jacobsen and big guard Taj DeGourville.
I’d consider Nebraska’s point guard situation to be a question mark.
Boise State Basketball
Who said old dogs can't learn new tricks? Leon Rice, at a spry 62 years old, has learned some new tricks. Boise State ran an archaic offense the past few seasons, but that's long gone.
Rice has been at Boise State since 2011, and it's only finished inside the top 100 in adjusted tempo twice: 2011 and 2017. Neither of those teams is playing faster than this season's, which sits 65th in adjusted tempo.
Not only are the Broncos playing fast, but they're also leading the country with a 10.7% turnover rate and shooting 43% from 3, with 49% of their shots coming from downtown.
The catalyst is point guard Ag Neto, who's averaging 20 points and six assists per game this season. He scored 25 points in his last two games and boasts a 54% shooting percentage this season.
Neto has paired nicely with Damari Wheeler-Thomas, who checks in with 17 points and 4.3 assists per game while shooting 46% from deep. That guard duo can carry the Broncos in the Pac-12. Don't sleep on Pearson Carmichael, Spencer Ahrens, and Dovydas Butka, either — each of them averages 11+ points this season.
Defensively, Boise State is solid but not to Nebraska's territory. The Broncos rank 42nd in defensive efficiency, but opponents are shooting 58% on 2s against them.
That'll have to be better against Nebraska.
Boise State vs Nebraska Pick, Betting Analysis
The line is Nebraska -9.5, which is up from 8.5.
I want Boise State here.
Not only is Nebraska a touch overrated in my view, but I think the new-look Broncos have legitimate top-25 potential.
They're a live 'dog here.
Pick: Boise State +9.5 (Play to +6.5)
