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College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Expert Picks, Predictions for Tuesday, November 25

College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Expert Picks, Predictions for Tuesday, November 25 article feature image
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Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images. Pictured: Ben McCollum (Iowa)

Feast Week rolls on, and Tuesday’s slate is the main course we’ve all been waiting for. Action tips off early and runs deep into the night (11 a.m. ET through midnight ET), with tournament games across Maui, the Bahamas, Vegas and beyond.

There’s sharp value all over the board as lines continue to adjust to early-season data.

Below you’ll find today’s top college basketball best bets — three high-confidence NCAAB expert picks and predictions for Tuesday, November 25.


College Basketball Best Bets

GameTime (ET)Pick
Samford Bulldogs LogoGeorgia State Panthers Logo
3 p.m.
Campbell Fighting Camels LogoWake Forest Demon Deacons Logo
8 p.m.
Ole Miss Rebels LogoIowa Hawkeyes Logo
9:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Samford vs. Georgia State

Samford Bulldogs Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 25
3 p.m. ET
FloCollege
Georgia State Panthers Logo
Under 150.5
DraftKings  Logo

By: Alex Kolodziej

For today's college basketball clash between Samford and Georgia State, the under on the total stands out as an A+ edge, powered by our in-house projections that consistently deliver sharp insights into game flow and scoring dynamics.

The line opened at a lofty 152.5 for this Tuesday's matchup, reflecting perhaps an overly optimistic view of the Bulldogs' and Panthers' offensive capabilities early in the season.

However, our Action PRO hoops models, which factor in advanced metrics like pace-adjusted efficiencies and recent defensive trends, compute a far more realistic fair score of 144.7 — a gap of over seven points that screams value for bettors willing to fade the public lean toward high-scoring affairs.

With both teams showing early signs of a deliberate, grind-it-out style in their non-conference schedules, this projection underscores a classic underdog opportunity in which the books' total feels inflated by recency bias.

Pick: Under 150.5

For more from our PRO projections and Alex, click the link below:

College Basketball Picks: Rutgers vs Notre Dame, Iowa State vs Creighton, More Image

Campbell vs. Wake Forest

Campbell Fighting Camels Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 25
8 p.m. ET
ACC Network Extra
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Logo
1H Under 74.5
bet365 Logo

By: Evan Abrams

Today’s Campbell vs. Wake Forest first-half under 74.5 is a textbook setup for one of the strongest early-season systems we track: high November/December/January first-half totals that dramatically overestimate offensive efficiency and rhythm.

The Deacons opened as a 17.5-point favorite against a scrappy Campbell team that just took Richmond to the wire on the road, and Wake itself is coming off an ugly 0-2 week in which it shot 29% from 3 and turned it over on 22% of possessions.

When a power-conference home team is underperforming expectations this early and priced as a single-digit favorite (or worse), the coaching staff almost always tightens the leash in the first half — fewer gamble passes, more half-court sets and a premium on not letting the underdog hang around.

That dynamic alone drags tempo down.

Add in the broader early-season overlay that this system exploits: rotations are still being sorted (Wake has played nine guys meaningful minutes already), shooters are cold (Wake is 31st percentile from 3 in the first half this month) and both teams are still figuring out how to attack zone looks and late-shot-clock situations.

Oddsmakers, meanwhile, are hanging a 74.5 first-half number that essentially prices in mid-February efficiency from a Wake squad that currently ranks outside the top 200 in adjusted offensive efficiency.

In spots matching this exact profile since 2019, the first-half under is 71-43-2 (62.3%) ATS with an average closing line of 73.8 and an average final first-half total of 67.9.

Fade the inflated expectation and take the first-half under 74.5 with confidence.

Pick: 1H Under 74.5


Ole Miss vs. Iowa

Ole Miss Rebels Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 25
9:30 p.m. ET
CBS Sports Network
Iowa Hawkeyes Logo
1H Under 68.5
FanDuel Logo

By Christian Odjakjian

I’m definitely expecting a close one here between two top-30-ish teams with high level coaches.

With a home game against Xavier being its biggest test so far, we don’t really know how good Iowa is yet.

However, Bennett Stirtz has been great orchestrating things offensively and the efficiency with which the Hawkeyes have picked teams apart has been excellent so far. That has me more confident in the Hawkeyes as the better unit right now.

Iowa should score the ball more effectively in the half-court, so this one should come down to the turnover battle.

While I definitely lean towards Iowa to win and cover the small number, I have an angle that I prefer. We have two teams in the bottom 50 nationally in tempo. Ole Miss takes a lot of tough shots, and outside of its big three there hasn't been much going on offensively.

And while Iowa is absolutely dialed offensively right now running McCollum's system and playing off Stirtz, this is by far the best defense it's faced so far.

There will be much more resistance at the rim and more physicality than what the Hawkeyes have seen so far. So, I'm going with the under, specifically in the first half.

Pick: 1H Under 68.5

For the full preview from Christian, click on the link below:

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