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The Florida Gators take on the Florida State Seminoles in Tallahassee, FL. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Florida is favored by -9.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -575. The total is set at 165.5 points.
Here’s my Florida vs. Florida State prediction and college basketball picks for November 10, 2026.
Florida vs Florida State Prediction
Pick: Florida -9.5
My Florida vs Florida State best bet is on the Gators to cover the spread. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Florida vs Florida State Odds
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 165.5 -105o / -115u | -575 |
| Florida State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 165.5 -105o / -115u | +425 |
- Florida vs Florida State spread: Florida -9.5 (-110), Florida State +9.5 (-110)
- Florida vs Florida State over/under: 165.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Florida vs Florida State moneyline: Florida -575, Florida State +425
Florida vs Florida State College Basketball Preview
Florida Basketball
Do we expect the Gators to show any ounce of mercy in this ball game? They have nothing in front of them; after this matchup, Florida hosts Merrimack.
They don't play a legit opponent for a week, when they play Notre Dame in Las Vegas next Tuesday.
Entering Tuesday, the Gators have dominated everyone in their way, taking down Miami in their first game 77-61 before beating Jacksonville, 88-57.
With all the returning talent and guys familiar with head coach Todd Golden, this team should have no issues with taking care of the Seminoles on the road.
Florida State Basketball
Florida State has no returning starters — just two players returned from a year ago — and those two have had minimal playing time and experience.
Despite the lack of chemistry, the Seminoles played an impressive preseason schedule, beating LSU and Auburn back in October.
Florida State then kicked off the season by blowing out Florida A&M and Troy. Now the Noles draw one of the most complete teams in the country.
Luckily, they get to play this massive game in front of their home crowd.
Florida vs. Florida State Pick, Betting Analysis
In this spot, backing Florida to cover the 9.5 is the only option. The Gators have nothing to look ahead to for another week, so their main focus should be destroying their in-state rival.
On top of that, early in the season, having 11 guys on the roster who already have chemistry within Golden's system and one another is far more lethal than a team returning two players, one with just 13 career minutes and the other recovering from an ACL tear.
If the number worries you, take Florida's team total over instead. Both teams rank inside the top 50 in pace and love to zip up and down the floor.
Pick: Florida -9.5
