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College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10

College Basketball Best Bets: 3 NCAAB Picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10 article feature image
4 min read
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Vance Walberg (Fresno State)

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All eyes are on the Champions Classic on Tuesday, but there are many other big matchups on the board, including Florida vs. Florida State and Illinois vs. Texas Tech, among others.

Our staff has their three top picks for the other games on the board not at the United Center.

Read below for college basketball best bets, including three NCAAB picks for Tuesday, November 10.

Be sure to download the Action Network app for more expert picks and analysis!


3 College Basketball Best Bets

GameTime (ET)Pick
Washington State Cougars LogoDuquesne Dukes Logo
7 p.m.
Illinois Fighting Illini LogoTexas Tech Red Raiders Logo
8 p.m.
Georgia State Panthers LogoFresno State Bulldogs Logo
9 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Washington State vs. Duquesne

Washington State Cougars Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 10
7 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Duquesne Dukes Logo
Over 148.5
FanDuel Logo

By Tanner McGrath

2-0 Duquesne takes on 0-2 Washington State to begin our best bets file, and I'm all over the over.

My college basketball model that I started last season — and succeeded heavily with when it comes to totals — has officially become the model projections for Action Network PRO.

This model is projecting the Washington State-Duquesne total at 154.07, which is nearly six points greater than the current number being offered by sportsbooks as of writing.

That gives us a strong signal, especially when factoring in the sharp action that is also coming in on the over.

Pick: Over 148.5


Illinois vs. Texas Tech

Illinois Fighting Illini Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 10
8 p.m. ET
Peacock
Texas Tech Red Raiders Logo
Texas Tech +1.5
BetMGM Logo

By Charlie DiSturco

I'm going to fade the public here and take the home underdog.

While Illinois has looked like a well-oiled machine to start the season, the offense is in the hands of a freshman (Quentin Coleman) facing his first true road test.

Texas Tech's defense is going to be aggressive, and the Illini have already shown some issues taking care of the basketball, turning it over 19 times against Penn.

Even without JT Toppin, I think Texas Tech has enough firepower to hang with one of the best teams in the country. It's also hard to believe these veteran shooters will continue to struggle from beyond the arc. At some point, the shots will start falling, making this a perfect buy-low opportunity.

Illinois has been excellent at getting downhill, attacking the rim and crashing the offensive glass. But that's exactly what Texas Tech's no-middle defense is designed to take away.

I expect the Red Raiders to create some chaos defensively, while their offense finally starts to find its rhythm. In their biggest home game of the non-conference schedule, give me Texas Tech.

Pick: Texas Tech +1.5 (Play to PK)


Georgia State vs. Fresno State

Georgia State Panthers Logo
Tuesday, Nov. 10
9 p.m. ET
YouTube
Fresno State Bulldogs Logo
Under 149.5
BetMGM Logo

By Evan Abrams

This certainly isn't the most sexy game of our stacked Tuesday slate, but it sure presents one of the more interesting values on the board.

Georgia State and Fresno State are a combined 2-3 this season, but both wins came against non-Division I opponents.

The lack of success from both sides isn't the only reason we're hitting the under, though. I have a system called "Stadium Unders" that says this side of the total is the proper one.

This system has a wild 25% return on investment all-time, including a whopping 65% hit rate (408-216-4).

NCAAB Icon
Evan Abrams – Stadium Unders (SEASON)
the game was played between 4/1/2021 and 5/1/2031
betting on the Under
the game was played in Barclays Center or Jersey Mike's Arena or UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse or Madison Square Garden or Jack Breslin Students Events Center or Chartway Arena or Thomas & Mack Center or Corbett Sports Center or Mitchell Center or Redhawk Center or University Arena or Boardwalk Hall or Pan American Center or Save Mart Center or Fertitta Center or John Gray Gymnasium or Sanford Center or Wells Fargo Arena or NIU Convocation Center or Enterprise Center
the home team's previous game OU margin is between -100 and -0.5
$15,568
WON
408-216-4
RECORD
65%
WIN%

Here's more on the theory of the system:

In college basketball, games played in specific arenas often trend under due to consistent environmental and stylistic factors tied to the venue rather than neutral-court unfamiliarity.

Many of these stadiums, both home and neutral, feature deeper backdrops, unique lighting, and court setups that slow pace and limit shooting efficiency.

Teams playing in these environments, especially those coming off an under in their previous outing, tend to continue that pattern as coaches emphasize defense and control over tempo.

Across multiple seasons, these venues have shown a reliable tendency for lower scoring outcomes, making the under a favorable position in stadiums where shooting rhythm and offensive flow are historically harder to sustain.

Remember, this game is being played at Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA, which qualifies as one of the venues aligned with this system.

Pick: Under 149.5

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