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Tennessee vs. Miami (OH)/SMU Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for 2026 NCAA Tournament

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Tennessee vs. Miami (OH)/SMU Odds

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Tennessee Odds
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SMU Odds
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Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB odds here.
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The 2026 NCAA Tournament field has been announced and Tennessee will take on the winner of Miami (OH) vs SMU in Round 1 of the Midwest region. Here's everything you need to know about Tennessee vs. Miami (OH)/SMU odds, spread and more.

Find out how No. 6-seeded Tennessee and No. 11-seeded Miami (OH)/SMU match up ahead of their opening round matchup.


Tennessee vs. Miami (OH)/SMU Analysis

Tennessee makes its living on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 45% of its own misses. That’s the leading number in men’s college hoops and the highest offensive rebounding rate in KenPom’s database since 2001.

Tennessee plays slow, but nearly doubles its possessions by hammering the glass, a tough formula to beat.

Immediately, you turn to see if either Miami or SMU has a prayer to protect the glass against the Vols.

SMU ranks 228th nationally in defensive rebounding rate. The Mustangs held their own against Duke, a heavy offensive rebounding team, but got obliterated on the boards by Miami and Virginia.

On the other hand, Miami (OH) has done a decent job, yet, like all Miami stats, you have to consider strength of schedule.

The RedHawks have not seen power conference size or athleticism all season. Kent State is the only opponent that ranks in the top 75 nationally in offensive rebounding rate, and the Flashes grabbed 17 of their own misses in an overtime thriller.

in KenPom’s top 75 of offensive rebounding rate to face the Hawks, and grabbed 17 of their own misses in an overtime thriller.

SMU will be both Miami’s first power conference opponent and its toughest test on the glass. If Miami survives, that’s a key stat to evaluate before betting them against the Vols.

–Shane McNichol


For more coverage of the 2026 NCAA Tournament and Selection Sunday, make sure to check out our experts' live reactions to the bracket reveal and the Selection Sunday live show, where you can get their instant analysis on every matchup as well as some early insights to help you make your bets.

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