Nevada vs. Middle Tenn Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2026

Crazy travel spot for Nevada. Almost a five-hour flight, then 45 minutes bus to Mufreesboro. And they’re welcomed by some southern heat and humidity. 92 degrees at kick, humid. Overnight lows of 45 degrees when Nevada is leaving. Carter Jones is returning from injury, and it’s a tricky one. He had a shoulder bruise and he tried to warm up against Montana State but he had zero zip on the ball, so they went with AJ Bianco and Luke Duncan who were dreadful. Checkdown merchants and only Bianco has running upside. With Jones availability and health in question, I feel good about Roman Gagliano being the better QB in this matchup. They gave Marshall a four-quarter battle, and he’s proven capable of impacting the game inside the pocket, outside the pocket and running when it’s available to him. Cam’ron Lacy has been fantastic for the Blue Raiders out of the slot, 17/190/2 TDs and he’s shifty as a PR. Defense is FAR ahead of where I thought they would be, evidenced by going 15 rounds with Marshall. 28th in tackling per PFF, which is key against this Wolf Pack attack that wants to dink and unk underneath and break tackles. UNR ran wild against WKU, this is the key, gotta be sound in the run game and tackling and that Marshall game gives me faith.