Texas St vs. Texas Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2026

Boyd / FanDuel

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Walker

@Stuckey2 Best Bets 2 https://www.youtube.com/live/ux0DbhtZX7I?is=kpIBaLGIhXIHvHU2

Hardrock

@_Collin1 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/college-football-betting-preview-week-1/id1579379256?i=1000787572547

Alt 30.5. Will be looking for more live.

@Breese https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sixth-gear-cfb-week-1/id1579379256?i=1000787319324

Overs are all about pace and explosiveness. Texas State finished 21st in seconds between plays last fall while scoring 36.5 points per game (12th). They return star quarterback Brad Jackson and his top receivers Beau Sparks (84/1,200/10) and Chris Dawn Jr. (65/1,007/4). The line, by G6 standards, has talent and some continuity as well. If they can score 14 points against this Will Muschamp defense, I have faith in Arch Manning and the Longhorns to do the rest. While UT may not operate at a breakneck pace, its offensive explosiveness was evident down the stretch last season. In the Horns' final three games, they averaged 40 points per game while generating 448 yards per game. Digging deep, though, it was their yards per play that jumped off the page. With Manning at the controls, UT averaged seven yards per play against Arkansas, Texas A&M, and Michigan. The Aggies and Wolverines fielded top 25 defenses and were eviscerated. Texas State, meanwhile, gave up north of four touchdowns per game (29 ppg, 95th). They will struggle to contain a revamped Texas running game powered by Hollywood Smothers, Raleek Brown, and Manning when he pulls the ball in the read game. The Bobcats surrendered 21 runs of 20+ yards last fall (109th), and they didn’t do enough in the portal to address their leaky run defense. After a humbling season opener last season, Texas will put up a fifty burger at DKR and push this game over the total.