Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 8 college football projections

Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 8 college football projections article feature image

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee, a short look at college football projected lines before release in Las Vegas or offshore. This weekly column examines where the point spread should open or trend. Hangover, overlook and general box score notes from the week's previous action will be captured to help any college football investor get action on a number.

If you plan to hit openers, take a look at the projected point spreads for Week 8:

DateAway HomeCW Line
Oct 19ULLArkansas St.ARST -13.5
Oct 19MemphisHoustonHOU -3.5
Oct 20MarshallMiddle Tenn.MTSU -1
Oct 20Air ForceNevadaNEV +12
Oct 20Colorado StateNew MexicoUNM +7.5
Oct 20Western KentuckyOld DominionODU +9.5
Oct 21TennesseeAlabamaBAMA -31
Oct 21Coastal CarolinaAppalachian St.APP -17.5
Oct 21AuburnArkansasARK +14.5
Oct 21TempleArmyARMY -8
Oct 21Central MichiganBall St.BALL -1
Oct 21West VirginiaBaylorBAY +12
Oct 21WyomingBoise St.BSU -16
Oct 21Northern IllinoisBowling GreenBGSU +10.5
Oct 21ArizonaCaliforniaCAL +5
Oct 21UABCharlotteCHAR +7.5
Oct 21SMUCincinnatiCIN +4
Oct 21PittsburghDukeDUKE -5
Oct 21BYUEast CarolinaECU +5.5
Oct 21Western MichiganE. MichiganEMU +1
Oct 21North TexasFlorida AtlanticFAU +1
Oct 21LouisvilleFlorida St.FSU -1.5
Oct 21TroyGeorgia St.GST +6.5
Oct 21Wake ForestGeorgia TechGT -8
Oct 21OklahomaKansas St.KSU +8
Oct 21Southern MissLA TechLT -2.5
Oct 21SyracuseMiamiMIAMI -14.5
Oct 21BuffaloMiami OhioM-OH -4.5
Oct 21IndianaMichigan St.MSU -6
Oct 21IllinoisMinnesotaMINN -13
Oct 21KentuckyMississippi St.MSST -9
Oct 21IdahoMissouriMIZZ -16.5
Oct 21UCFNavyNAVY +6.5
Oct 21IowaNorthwesternNW -2
Oct 21USCNotre DameND +1
Oct 21Kent StateOhioOHIO -20
Oct 21LSUOle MissMISS +10
Oct 21MichiganPenn St.PSU -10.5
Oct 21PurdueRutgersRUTG +9.5
Oct 21Fresno StateSan Diego St.SDSU -13
Oct 21ULMSouth AlabamaUSA -2.5
Oct 21KansasTCUTCU -36.5
Oct 21Oklahoma StateTexasTEX +4.5
Oct 21Iowa StateTexas TechTTU -4
Oct 21AkronToledoTOL -13.5
Oct 21South FloridaTulaneTUL +14
Oct 21OregonUCLAUCLA -2
Oct 21TulsaUConnCONN +6
Oct 21Georgia SouthernUMassMASS -7
Oct 21USUUNLVUNLV -3
Oct 21Arizona StateUtahUTAH -7.5
Oct 21RiceUTSAUTSA -16.5
Oct 21Boston CollegeVirginiaUVA -7
Oct 21North CarolinaVirginia TechVT -21
Oct 21ColoradoWashington St.WSU -12
Oct 21MarylandWisconsinWISC -24
Legend: Coming off bye / Overlook watch / Back to Back road travel / Neutral site

Notes

  • Arkansas State kicks the week off on five days rest at home against ULL. The Cajuns will be on a full week's rest after getting some gifts last Thursday against Texas State for the win/cover.

  • Colorado State's rush defense was exposed against Nevada, as the Wolfpack ran for 6.6 yards per rush. New Mexico's bread and butter is the option, and they will certainly be a buy low candidate after getting boatraced against Fresno State

  • Butch Jones' only saving grace at Tennessee is that Alabama is heading into a bye week after this week. Beating the number by three or four extra scores may not be in the mix for Nick Saban, who is looking to keep plenty of his key defensive players healthy

  • Don't expect Austin Allen in Fayetteville when the Razorbacks host Auburn. Gus Malzahn may be more interested in getting his team healthy and with a win heading into their bye week than covering three scores against Arkansas. The Razorbacks covered the closing number against Alabama, and it's about that time of year where Bret Bielema figures it out.

  • Boise State may be on hangover mode after a big victory against San Diego State. The Broncos host Wyoming with the winner in the driver's seat against Colorado State later this year. The Cowboys did just post a win with fraud box score, being outgained and gifted five turnovers against Utah State.

  • Syracuse comes in on hangover after beating Clemson. Miami continues a magical season after needing last-minute efforts to beat Florida State and Georgia Tech. The Hurricanes are in a prime spot in Week 8.

  • Gus Ragland will be out again for Miami Ohio, and that was a key reason a team as poor as Kent was able to win as a nine-point dog. Buffalo continues to cover the number (perfect 7-0 ATS on the season), and any dog number here should be scooped.

  • LSU and Arizona State are coming off top-10 upsets against Auburn and Washington, respectively. This should provide value in the Ole Miss and Utah lines, catching the Tigers and Sun Devils at home.

  • Kansas has covered and nearly upset TCU four years straight. This is the one time in the year where you have full degenerate permission to bet on Jayhawks football.

  • There is one case in Week 8 where the home team is on a bye week (Penn State) hosting a team on back-to-back travel (Michigan). Penn State is also on a massive overlook spot, with a trip to Ohio State on deck.


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