Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 8 college football projections

Sunday Morning Coffee: Week 8 college football projections article feature image

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee, a short look at college football projected lines before release in Las Vegas or offshore. This weekly column examines where the point spread should open or trend. Hangover, overlook and general box score notes from the week’s previous action will be captured to help any college football investor get action on a number.

If you plan to hit openers, take a look at the projected point spreads for Week 8:

Date Away Home CW Line
Oct 19 ULL Arkansas St. ARST -13.5
Oct 19 Memphis Houston HOU -3.5
Oct 20 Marshall Middle Tenn. MTSU -1
Oct 20 Air Force Nevada NEV +12
Oct 20 Colorado State New Mexico UNM +7.5
Oct 20 Western Kentucky Old Dominion ODU +9.5
Oct 21 Tennessee Alabama BAMA -31
Oct 21 Coastal Carolina Appalachian St. APP -17.5
Oct 21 Auburn Arkansas ARK +14.5
Oct 21 Temple Army ARMY -8
Oct 21 Central Michigan Ball St. BALL -1
Oct 21 West Virginia Baylor BAY +12
Oct 21 Wyoming Boise St. BSU -16
Oct 21 Northern Illinois Bowling Green BGSU +10.5
Oct 21 Arizona California CAL +5
Oct 21 UAB Charlotte CHAR +7.5
Oct 21 SMU Cincinnati CIN +4
Oct 21 Pittsburgh Duke DUKE -5
Oct 21 BYU East Carolina ECU +5.5
Oct 21 Western Michigan E. Michigan EMU +1
Oct 21 North Texas Florida Atlantic FAU +1
Oct 21 Louisville Florida St. FSU -1.5
Oct 21 Troy Georgia St. GST +6.5
Oct 21 Wake Forest Georgia Tech GT -8
Oct 21 Oklahoma Kansas St. KSU +8
Oct 21 Southern Miss LA Tech LT -2.5
Oct 21 Syracuse Miami MIAMI -14.5
Oct 21 Buffalo Miami Ohio M-OH -4.5
Oct 21 Indiana Michigan St. MSU -6
Oct 21 Illinois Minnesota MINN -13
Oct 21 Kentucky Mississippi St. MSST -9
Oct 21 Idaho Missouri MIZZ -16.5
Oct 21 UCF Navy NAVY +6.5
Oct 21 Iowa Northwestern NW -2
Oct 21 USC Notre Dame ND +1
Oct 21 Kent State Ohio OHIO -20
Oct 21 LSU Ole Miss MISS +10
Oct 21 Michigan Penn St. PSU -10.5
Oct 21 Purdue Rutgers RUTG +9.5
Oct 21 Fresno State San Diego St. SDSU -13
Oct 21 ULM South Alabama USA -2.5
Oct 21 Kansas TCU TCU -36.5
Oct 21 Oklahoma State Texas TEX +4.5
Oct 21 Iowa State Texas Tech TTU -4
Oct 21 Akron Toledo TOL -13.5
Oct 21 South Florida Tulane TUL +14
Oct 21 Oregon UCLA UCLA -2
Oct 21 Tulsa UConn CONN +6
Oct 21 Georgia Southern UMass MASS -7
Oct 21 Arizona State Utah UTAH -7.5
Oct 21 Rice UTSA UTSA -16.5
Oct 21 Boston College Virginia UVA -7
Oct 21 North Carolina Virginia Tech VT -21
Oct 21 Colorado Washington St. WSU -12
Oct 21 Maryland Wisconsin WISC -24
Legend: Coming off bye / Overlook watch / Back to Back road travel / Neutral site


  • Arkansas State kicks the week off on five days rest at home against ULL. The Cajuns will be on a full week’s rest after getting some gifts last Thursday against Texas State for the win/cover.

  • Colorado State’s rush defense was exposed against Nevada, as the Wolfpack ran for 6.6 yards per rush. New Mexico’s bread and butter is the option, and they will certainly be a buy low candidate after getting boatraced against Fresno State

  • Butch Jones’ only saving grace at Tennessee is that Alabama is heading into a bye week after this week. Beating the number by three or four extra scores may not be in the mix for Nick Saban, who is looking to keep plenty of his key defensive players healthy

  • Don’t expect Austin Allen in Fayetteville when the Razorbacks host Auburn. Gus Malzahn may be more interested in getting his team healthy and with a win heading into their bye week than covering three scores against Arkansas. The Razorbacks covered the closing number against Alabama, and it’s about that time of year where Bret Bielema figures it out.

  • Boise State may be on hangover mode after a big victory against San Diego State. The Broncos host Wyoming with the winner in the driver’s seat against Colorado State later this year. The Cowboys did just post a win with fraud box score, being outgained and gifted five turnovers against Utah State.

  • Syracuse comes in on hangover after beating Clemson. Miami continues a magical season after needing last-minute efforts to beat Florida State and Georgia Tech. The Hurricanes are in a prime spot in Week 8.

  • Gus Ragland will be out again for Miami Ohio, and that was a key reason a team as poor as Kent was able to win as a nine-point dog. Buffalo continues to cover the number (perfect 7-0 ATS on the season), and any dog number here should be scooped.

  • LSU and Arizona State are coming off top-10 upsets against Auburn and Washington, respectively. This should provide value in the Ole Miss and Utah lines, catching the Tigers and Sun Devils at home.

  • Kansas has covered and nearly upset TCU four years straight. This is the one time in the year where you have full degenerate permission to bet on Jayhawks football.

  • There is one case in Week 8 where the home team is on a bye week (Penn State) hosting a team on back-to-back travel (Michigan). Penn State is also on a massive overlook spot, with a trip to Ohio State on deck.

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