The Auburn Tigers take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Kickoff is set for 12:45 p.m. EDT on SEC Network.
Arkansas is favored by 2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -140. The total is set at 55.5 points.
Here’s my Auburn vs. Arkansas prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 25, 2025.
Auburn vs Arkansas Prediction, Pick
- Auburn vs. Arkansas Pick: Arkansas -1 or Better
My Arkansas vs. Auburn best bet is on the Hogs. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Auburn vs Arkansas Game Odds
| Auburn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | +120 |
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | -140 |
- Auburn vs Arkansas point spread: Arkansas -2.5 (-110), Auburn +2.5 (-110)
- Auburn vs Arkansas over/under: 55.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Auburn vs Arkansas moneyline: Auburn +120, Arkansas -140
Auburn vs Arkansas Preview
From a pure numbers perspective, I don't see much value in this line, as I only project the Hogs as slight favorites.
However, I love the spot in a battle of two clones who remain winless in SEC play after a number of close calls across two of the top-five most difficult schedules in the country to date.
For what it's worth, Arkansas has played a marginally tougher schedule and has a slightly higher yards-per-play margin (+0.7 to +0.3).
After four straight heartbreaking losses to ranked opponents, I'm not sure how Auburn gets off the mat for an early kick on the road against 2-4 Arkansas.
The vibes couldn't be lower after watching the sidelines at the end of the loss to Missouri. It seems as if the Tigers are waiting for bad things to happen, and who could really blame the kids after such a tragic streak?
They now won't even come close to reaching any of their high preseason expectations for a team many considered a legit sleeper in the SEC. Head coach Hugh Freeze may have lost the locker room, and I'm not sure he'll be able to rally the troops.
In fairness, Arkansas has also been extremely unfortunate in close games against ranked foes.
However, unlike Auburn, it recently fired its head coach, giving the reins to Bobby Petrino, who has seemingly said all of the right things to keep his team motivated.
People I trust close to the program (including my podcast co-host Collin Wilson) are adamant that this team still cares and will continue to fight. That matters against a potentially deflated opponent that may or may not get off the metaphorical bus.
Arkansas has a top-five offense nationally by almost any metric in large part due to Petrino's play-calling and the electric Taylen Green, who might be the nation's most underrated quarterback. If he played for a better team, he'd find himself right in the thick of the Heisman conversation.
I do worry a bit about some potential turnover regression, but his mobility will come in handy against the elite Auburn front.
He can buy time to take advantage of a vulnerable Auburn secondary that ranks outside the top 90 nationally in yards after catch and Pass Success Rate allowed.
On the other side of the ball, Auburn's offense is a complete mess, ranking 112th nationally in yards per play.
While it will undoubtedly have success on the ground against an Arkansas defense that rates horribly in every aspect (130th in yards per play allowed), I'm still not sure the Tigers can ultimately keep up.
The difference in quarterback play in this matchup is as drastic as you'll see in any SEC game all season, regardless of whether Auburn sticks with Jackson Arnold (who has been nearly unplayable) or goes with Stanford transfer Ashton Daniels, who Freeze said will split reps with Arnold this week.
The spread isn't egregious by any stretch. However, I have much more confidence in Arkansas showing up at home under Petrino.
Plus, the Hogs will have a significant special teams edge. Per SP+, Arkansas ranks 11th nationally in that department, while Auburn ranks 121st. That could play a major role in a close game, which is all these two snakebit teams seem to play.
On the injury front, Arkansas won't have Cam Ball up front along the defensive line due to injury, but should get back Danny Saili to help mitigate that loss.
More importantly, Auburn lost star center Connor Lew (who will play at the next level) to a season-ending injury last week. True freshman Kail Ellis (one of only two players in all of college football who will play the entire season at 17 years old) took his place last week (40 snaps) and really struggled.
Auburn might go back to the kid or possibly shift starting right tackle Mason Murphy inside. Either way, that's not ideal, especially with a potentially new starting quarterback on the road.
Woo Pig.
Pick: Arkansas -1 or Better
Arkansas vs Auburn Channel, Start Time, Streaming
- Time: 12:45 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: SEC Network
