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Bowl Game Picks: Projections Love Memphis vs NC State Over/Under (Friday)

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Memphis Tigers mascot Pouncer. Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

The Memphis vs. NC State (2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) over/under in Friday's Gasparilla Bowl is PRO Projections' best bet of any bowl total.

The Tigers and Wolfpack meet in the second bowl game of the day on December 19. NC State is laying points as the favorite (-3.5), with an over/under of 56.5.

After PRO Projections successfully nailed the Troy-Jacksonville State under in Tuesday's bowl, I'm tapping back into advanced PRO models, which spit out a grade-A confidence pick after running the Memphis vs. NC State odds.

For what it's worth, the PRO line is NC State -3, so there's not much value.

The total? An entirely different story.


Bowl Game Picks Friday: Projections Love Memphis vs NC State Over/Under

Projections rate every pick on a scale — A, B, and C — to determine the conviction level of a mismatch.

Friday's combined total prediction earns an 8.3% edge and A- grade.

Predictive models suggested Tuesday's Troy vs. Jacksonville State over/under was off by a full four points. The game finished well under the total in a 17-13 finish.

Turning to Friday's best bet for Memphis vs. NC State, PRO Projections believe this bowl over/under is off by five points.

If you're tailing our premium data for Friday, you're locking in the Tigers and Wolfpack