College Football Odds, Picks & Betting Cheat Sheet for Noon Slate

College Football Odds, Picks & Betting Cheat Sheet for Noon Slate article feature image
Credit:

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: The Nittany Lion posing as The Night King

  • Get odds, picks, insights and analysis for college football's noon slate on Saturday, September 14.
  • The full articles are available to Action EDGE members, but we pulled some interesting snippets below.

College football Week 3 kicks off in just a few hours, and as someone betting this somewhat-ugly card, you must be prepared.

Below we’ve compiled a cheat sheet of some key betting insights on a handful of games, including Penn State vs. Pitt and Eastern Michigan vs. Illinois.

EDGE members can get access to the full articles and tools used below.

Huge Moves on Noon Over/Unders

To see odds moves and where the money is coming in, check out our Public Betting page.

Kansas State has been playing impossibly slow on offense this season under new coach Chris Klieman, running fewer plays per second than all but three teams. The Wildcats have also run the ball 72% of the time, more than all but four other teams.

Despite that, the total in this game has moved from 46 to 51.5 behind 72% of dollars hitting the over.

It has been narrowly profitable to follow big line moves in college football.

But it definitely has not been profitable to fade those line moves and go the other way, even at “inflated” prices.

There are a few other games that fit into this criteria at noon ET.

  • Maryland-Temple (62 to 66.5)
  • Chattanooga-Tennessee (47.5 to 51.5)
  • Notre Dame-New Mexico (59 to 64)
  • Citadel-Georgia Tech (53.5 to 58.5)
  • NC State-West Virginia (50.5 to 46.5)

Penn State vs. Pitt Betting Angle

Hosting Buffalo in Week 2, Penn State opened as a 24-point favorite and closed -31.5 against the Bulls. The Nittany Lions went in to halftime trailing Buffalo 10-7 before a monster third quarter.

But the box score tells the story, as Buffalo had eight more first downs, had more total yards and had the ball offensively for 42 minutes of the game.

Pitt coach Pat Narduzzi mentioned that new offensive coordinator Mark Whipple must work on a run-pass balance to protect quarterback Kenny Pickett. Ohio had just one sack but eight quarterback hurries, indicating that Pickett will continue to work on a quick release.

With the changes to the Pitt offensive philosophy, the Panthers are averaging nine more snaps per game than 2018. If Buffalo can hit three different targets for explosive passes on Penn State, expect Pitt here to do the same.

Expect lots of points, and James Franklin to not take his foot off the gas.

Two Oddsmakers’ Favorites in Action

Westgate Director of Race & Sports John Murray said Maryland has gotten the biggest adjustment of any team through two weeks — there’s no way the Terps would have been laying -7 at Temple before the season.

But another team kicking off in the early window, Colorado, has also gotten a big boost.

The Buffs went from -3.5 to -4.5 hosting Air Force on Saturday before sharps bet it back down to -3.5 later in the week.

It’s a tricky spot for Colorado against an option team following an emotional comeback win over Nebraska with its conference opener vs. Arizona State on deck.

Noon Sharp Action

Sharps have been all over Illinois this summer and early in the season, hitting the over on the Illini’s win total and their spreads in the first two games against Akron and UConn.

But this Saturday, pro bettors aren’t placing their faith in Lovie Smith’s crew.

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