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Kent State vs. Bowling Green Odds & Pick: Windy Weather, Sharp Bettors Show Edge on Tuesday’s Over/Under


Brian Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Andrew Clair

College Football Odds: Kent State vs. Bowling Green

Kent State Odds -20.5
Bowling Green Odds +20.5
Over/Under 56
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
As of 9 a.m. ET. Try PRO for FREE to unlock all the Week 11 games attracting sharps.

With Week 11’s MACtion kicking off on Tuesday, there hasn’t been a whole lot of time for odds — released mostly on Sunday evening — to take shape in the betting market. But the over/under in Kent State vs. Bowling Green needed almost no time at all to catch the attention of sharps.

A likely reason for that? Wind.

Let’s take a look at how our PRO Report is signaling betting value on one of Tuesday’s MACtion matchups.

Data as of 2:20 p.m. ET Monday unless otherwise noted.

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College Football Sharp Pick: Kent State vs. Bowling Green

Early big bets from sharps, as well as picks from our experts, have all landed on one side of this total. And given the weather-based PRO System match, the reason will be clear.

Sharp Action

While the very early openers for this game may have been as high as 64, most books opened closer to the 60-point range. But even that was deemed too high by sharp bettors.

Four Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record instances of market movement caused specifically by sharp action, have already been triggered on the under, confirming the sharps are playing a role in the move to the current consensus.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

Further making that sharp opinion clear, the 62% of bettors that have taken the under have generated 80% of actual money. That means significantly bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps — are landing on the under.

Big Money edge: Under

PRO Systems

Onto the doozy. As of Tuesday morning, sideline-to-sideline winds of 17 to 22 mph are expected throughout the entirety of the game.

Our “Windy Unders” PRO betting system reveals that games with at least 13 mph of wind have returned a 57% win rate to the under since 2005. And given the magnitude of these winds in particular, you’ll probably want to note that bumping up the threshold to 17 mph increases the win percentage to 59%, and a 20-mph requirement shoots it all the way up to 65%.

PRO Systems edge: Under

Top Experts

Given the weather edge, our staff is right in line with the sharps. As of writing, two of our top college football experts have taken the under.

You can follow all of our experts’ picks, and get notified immediately when those picks are made, by downloading the Action App.

Top Experts edge: Under

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