College Football Odds & Picks for Air Force vs. Utah State: Sharp Money Moving Thursday Night’s Spread

College Football Odds & Picks for Air Force vs. Utah State: Sharp Money Moving Thursday Night’s Spread article feature image
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Photo by Loren Orr/Getty Images. Pictured: Head Coach Troy Calhoun of the Air Force Falcons

  • Sharp bettors seek out undervalued sides, which often means they land on underdogs.
  • That's not the case in tonight's Air Force-Utah State matchup, however. According to our PRO Report, big bets from sharps have been causing sportsbooks to move their odds and increase this spread.
  • PJ Walsh details the movement below.

College Football Odds: Air Force vs. Utah State

Air Force Odds -12.5
Utah State Odds +12.5
Over/Under 51
PRO Projections Air Force -9.8 | O/U: 51.6
Time/Channel  9:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network
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In general, favorites are overvalued by casual bettors. The public overwhelming wants to root for blowouts, or the better team at the very least, as opposed to just hoping that a bad team finds a way to keep a game closer than expected.

As a result, our College Football PRO Report’s value indicators typically align with teams undervalued across the market, which are often underdogs.

However, that doesn’t mean that favorites can’t be good bets, too.

And according to how the world’s sharpest bettors, tonight’s Air Force vs. Utah State college football matchup is a perfect example.


College Football Picks: Air Force vs. Utah State

Sharp Action

Air Force opened as a 10.5-point favorite over Utah State and has stretched to -12.5 (click here for live college football odds) as of Thursday afternoon.

Why? Because sharps have jumped on the road favorite.

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals are reporting five separate instances of smart money landing on the Falcons, explaining the two-point line move.

Big Money

Pro bettors aren’t shy when they find an edge worth betting and this is extremely clear when you look at the Air Force vs. Utah State betting data.

Sixty-percent of tickets have landed on the Falcons, yet those bets represent a whopping 96% of the money wagered.

Oddsmakers are inundated with Air Force loot tonight, and that includes dinero from the market’s most respected bettors.

PRO Report Pick: Air Force -12.5

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