College Football Odds & Picks for Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International: Sharp Betting, Projections Reveal Value (Friday, Nov. 13)


Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Korel Smith and Zyon Gilbert

Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International PRO Report

FAU Odds -9.5
FIU Odds +9.5
Over/Under 41
Time 7 p.m. ET
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One of tonight’s college football games is not like the others.

That statement could probably be proven true in several ways, but of the most glaring, Florida Atlantic and Florida International have been listed with an over/under of 41 in the betting market. The other two matchups are at 58 and 55.

The low total is not only a standout on tonight’s three-game slate, it’s tied for the third-lowest in any FBS game this year, assuming it holds. And according to our PRO Report, it’s also the number attracting the most action from sharps tonight.

The betting tools used by the pros

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Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International PRO Report

Even with the strikingly low total, sharps, and our experts, have taken a liking to the under. And according to our model, the number still isn’t low enough.

Sharp Action

A downward line move despite 60% of bettors on the over suggests a pretty strong chance that sharps are playing a role, and our tools confirm that.

Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record instances of market movement caused specifically by sharp action, have been triggered five times throughout the week on this total. All five have come on the under.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Model Projection

For the pros to be betting this under, they must think the true total is lower than what’s listed in the market. And our model agrees.

Collin Wilson’s projections suggest an actual over/under of 38.3, giving nearly a field goal’s worth of value at the higher numbers available.

Model Projection edge: Under

Top Experts

Our staff is in agreement on the under edge. As of writing, three of our top college football experts have taken the under.

You can follow all our experts’ picks, and get immediate notifications when they make them, by downloading the Action App.

Top Experts edge: Under

The betting tools used by the pros

Best bets & signals for every game

Projections from proven pros

Profitable betting system picks
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