College Football Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting North Carolina vs. Virginia Total (Saturday, Oct. 31)

College Football Odds & Picks: Sharps Betting North Carolina vs. Virginia Total (Saturday, Oct. 31) article feature image
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Andy Mead/ISI Photos/Getty Images. Dyami Brown and De’Vante Cross

North Carolina vs. Virginia Odds

North Carolina Odds -7.5
Virginia Odds +7.5
Over/Under 61
PRO Projection UNC -8.3 | 64
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC
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As of last night, there were only a pair of games lighting up an aligned set of betting value signals on our PRO Report feature. But as gameday has started to unfold, some more spots have started to pop with agreeing indicators.

It started with sharps and experts taking the same side of tonight’s marquee Penn State-Ohio State matchup, and now, it appears that the pros are in agreement with our model’s projection for UNC vs. Virginia.

Let’s take a look.

Note: Data as of 11:30 a.m. ET.

There’s more sharp action Saturday! The pros are betting several more games on the Week 9 slate, including …

  • Mississippi State vs. Alabama [Unlock]
  • LSU vs. Auburn [Unlock]
  • Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech [Unlock]

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UNC vs. Virginia PRO Report Pick

Big bets from sharp bettors have been landing on the over and pushing this total upward, and according to our projection, it still has a slight ways to go.

Sharp Action

Sports Insights Bet Signals, which serve as our measuring stick for sharp action, have been triggered twice on the over. That means there have been at least two instances of market movement that have come specifically as a result of sharp action, which explains why this total has come up to a consensus 61 after opening at 59.5.

Sharp Action edge: Over

Big Money

Also helping explain the total’s upward movement: the 54% of bettors it’s attracted have generated 72% of actual money landing on the total.

On top of the monetary liability, though, and perhaps more importantly, that discrepancy confirms that bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are taking the over.

Big Money edge: Over

Model Projections

For sharps to think the over is the play here, they must be projecting this total above the current line. And we are, too.

Our model — compiled by Collin Wilsonprojects a 64-point over/under, giving a field goal’s worth of value to the current consensus.

Model Projections edge: Over

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