Friday College Football Sharp Report: Pros Betting New Mexico vs. San Jose State
Nelson Chenault, USA Today Sports.
- Professional bettors have zeroed in on Friday's west coast matchup between New Mexico and San Jose State (10 p.m. ET, CBSS).
- Tools available at The Action Network reveal where the sharp money is going ahead of tonight's late game.
What looked to be a dud of a two-game Thursday slate actually ended up providing the 15 or so people who tuned in some terrific entertainment, including an all-time ending to Temple-ECU for anyone who bet on literally any part of that game.
For sharps, it was doubly exciting as they were able to cash on both underdogs, so how are they riding that momentum into tonight?
They’ve hit a side and a total on tonight’s two-gamer, starting with UCF vs. Cincinnati.
Odds as of Friday at 8:50 a.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Central Florida vs. Cincinnati
8 p.m. ET | ESPN
I’m sure you’ll be surprised to hear that the public is flocking toward No. 18 UCF as a short favorite against an unranked Cincinnati team. Sixty-five percent of bettors have taken the Knights, who opened as a field-goal favorite.
All right, so that’s to be expected, but what may come as a bit more of a surprise is how the actual money has been distributed, as well as the path this line has taken since opening.
UCF’s opening line of -3 didn’t last long. Even as early as Monday it had been bet up to -4/4.5, and it’s been since that point that sportsbooks have really started to take on the brunt of their action — plenty of which has come from sharps.
The 35% backing of Cincy has generated 53% of money being wagered, which — on top of creating a tiny monetary liability — means bigger bettors are taking the Bearcats.
Confirming that those bigger bettors are of the sharper variety, Sports Insights Bet Signals — which reveal instances of smart money hitting the market — have triggered 15 moves on Cincinnati at lines of +4.5 and +4.
That’s not to say that all wiseguys are united on that front (four moves have hit UCF at -4), but for the most part, pros are riding with the points … and the line movement reflects that.
Since reaching that +4.5-mark early in the week, Cincinnati has come back down to +3.5 despite its lacking popularity.
Sharp angle: Cincinnati (moved from +4.5 to +3.5)
New Mexico @ San Jose State
10 p.m. ET | CBS Sports Network
This game is taking in bets at nowhere near the same rate as its partner on tonight’s slate. In fact, it’s pacing to attract around a quarter of the total tickets being placed on UCF-Cincy.
Still, it’s been a prime target for sharp bettors, who couldn’t care less about the excitement surrounding the games they bet.
In this case, they’ve shifted focus to the total, once again revealed by market percentages, line movement and SI Bet Signals.
After opening at 66.5, this number was bet down to 63.5 by the middle of the week. A sprinkle of early sharp action — as evidenced by a couple of SI Bet Signals — even had something to do with that movement, but the overload of professional money was yet to come.
From that point on, every sharp indication has pointed toward the over. It’s drawn a whopping 89% of money on 60% of bets, and triggered four Bet Signals since Wednesday. The under has yet to see one during that span.
Most notably, the number has risen back up, even past its opener, to 67.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 63.5 to 67)