Sharps Bet Georgia Southern-South Alabama, ECU-Temple Odds in Similar Way
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Holton Ahlers
- Thursday's college football slate features two not-so-exciting matchups.
- Sharp bettors, though, are finding value on both Georgia Southern-South Alabama and Temple-ECU.
To the casual college football fan, Thursday’s duo of games probably isn’t really moving the needle. A battle of the Sun Belt division basements — 1-4 South Alabama vs. 1-3 Georgia Southern — and an AAC matchup between Temple and East Carolina aren’t exactly “eyes glued to the television” material.
But based on how betting lines have moved in these games, the 2-game slate is looking like a sharp bettors’ dream. In fact, each game has seen nearly identical activity in the betting market.
Each features a road favorite (Georgia Southern and Temple), each of those favorites opened right around -13 and each has drawn a majority backing (64% of bets and 68%, respectively).
What’s more? Each game has drawn sharp action to the same bet.
Odds as of 10:30 a.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama
7:30 p.m. ET | ESPNU
While it’s the lesser of the two matchups as far as excitement (which isn’t saying much), this one has featured the more significant line move, and looks to be the recipient of more professional money.
As mentioned, the Jaguars (that would be South Alabama) have attracted just 36% of bets. Those bets, however, have generated 47% of money, which is significant as big bets are more likely to come from sharper bettors.
More revealing, though, has been the line movement on this spread since opening. Georgia Southern has gone from a 13-point favorite (even -13.5 in some spots) down to just -10 despite its popularity.
Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record professional market action causing line moves, have triggered 10 signals on South Alabama between +12.5 and +10 to Georgia Southern’s one (-10).
As a cherry on top, the SI Line Predictor even projects that the next line change will be to South Alabama +9.5.
Sharp angle: South Alabama (moved from +13 to +10)
Temple @ East Carolina
8 p.m. ET | ESPN
Much like the earlier game, this one has seen line movement in the direction of the unpopular home dog.
East Carolina’s 32% backing, while no longer generating a higher percentage of money (it was for most of the week), has been loud enough to convince oddsmakers that this line was too high. In other words, while they may not be creating a monetary liability, the bettors behind ECU are clearly respected enough to get oddsmakers’ attention.
Again, SI Bet Signals are doing the heavy lifting for us in terms of confirming the professional action. They’ve triggered three moves on the Pirates (and none on Temple) at +13 and +12, bring this line down to a consensus +11.5.
Sharp angle: East Carolina (moved from +13 to +11.5)