College Football Sharp Betting Report: Pros Are Targeting LSU vs. Texas, 3 Other Saturday Games
Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sam Ehlinger
- Sharp bettors continue making moves throughout the week on Saturday's college football slate, including LSU vs. Texas (7:30 p.m. ET, ABC) in Austin.
- The tools at The Action Network help identify which plays the pros are betting.
The Saturday slate gets going an hour early in Week 2, and sharps have taken notice. Now they probably don’t care that Ohio vs. Pitt is at 11 a.m. ET instead of noon, but it does happen to be one of the games drawing the most one-sided sharp action this weekend.
Also among the sharpest angles this week: BYU vs. Tennessee, Cincy vs. Ohio State and the biggest matchup of the weekend: LSU vs. Texas.
Ohio @ Pittsburgh
11 a.m. ET | ACC Network
The public is split on the late morning kickoff, with the slightest of edges going toward Ohio (51% of bets). The money landing on each side, however, is not so balanced.
Ohio bettors have made up for two-thirds of actual dollars being wagered on the spread, meaning bigger bets — the ones more likely being made by sharps — are taking the points. The number of points that bettors can now “take” is down from 6.5 to 4.
Confirming that the move was not simply a result of a monetary liability, Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of sharp action in the betting market — have triggered Ohio moves at +6.5, +5.5 and +5.
Sharp angle: Ohio (moved from +6.5 to +4)
Cincinnati @ Ohio State
12 p.m. ET | ABC
This total hasn’t presented much of an issue for most bettors, as 73% are in agreement that the number is too low, which isn’t unusual. Since 2005, the over has gotten the majority of bets in 158 of 170 Ohio State games.
But even after opening at 55, the total is down to 52.5 across the market.
The 27% of under bettors have generated 44% of actual money being bet on the total, and Sports Insights Bet Signals have triggered seven under moves, revealing sharps hitting the under at numbers ranging from 55.5 down to 53.5.
There has yet to be any buyback recorded on the over.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 55 to 52.5)
BYU @ Tennessee
7 p.m. ET | ESPN
This matchup brings with it all kinds Week 1 baggage. Coming off a loss as a 24.5-point favorite, Tennessee opened as a field-goal favorite over BYU, which lost to Utah in a game that probably should’ve been closer than the 30-12 final score indicated.
Equally as surprising as that opening number is the fact that Tennessee is still dominating the bet count, getting two-thirds of tickets and moving up to -4.
But if there’s one thing about this game that is not confusing, it’s how sharps are betting the over/under. Opening anywhere from 50.5 to 51.5, this number has drawn plenty of under action. Sixty-eight percent of bets, in fact, have landed on the under.
Despite that, the total now sits at a consensus of 53. Part of the reason for that has been the fact that the 32% of under bettors have made up for 44% of actual money wagered on the total, once again revealing the opinion of bigger bettors.
Confirming that indication, SI Bet Signals have triggered six moves on the over — most recently on Friday afternoon at 52.5.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 51 to 53)
LSU @ Texas
7:30 p.m. ET | ABC
In what should close as the most heavily bet game of the weekend, oddsmakers opened the over/under at 54. A majority of bettors have taken a liking to the under at that number — perhaps a result of the 17 combined points allowed by these teams in Week 1 — but we’re now looking at a total of 57.5.
You probably don’t need any more convincing to figure out which side sharps are playing.
Four Bet Signals — as recently as Thursday at 55 — have hit this over, which has also drawn 62% of the money on just 44% of bets.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 54 to 57)