Georgia vs. Florida Expert Picks: Our Staff’s 3 Best Bets for Gators-Bulldogs
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dan Mullen
- Get our staff's best bets for Georgia vs. Florida on Saturday (3:30 p.m. ET, CBS).
- We're attacking the spread, total and a player prop.
The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party wouldn’t be complete without some good old-fashioned gambling, would it?
That’s why we’ve compiled our favorite bets for Georgia vs. Florida in one convenient place before the 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff.
I make this point spread Georgia -7, higher than the market and much higher than the brief dip to -3.5 and -4 earlier in the week. One team has a clear advantage in offensive and defensive success rate, along with havoc, third down conversion and red zone efficiency.
If Georgia can resolve issues in identifying explosive receiving targets, the Bulldogs would have a legitimate chance at winning the College Football Playoff after beating Florida. — Collin Wilson
Collin’s Pick: Georgia -6 or better [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
I don’t think Georgia will completely shut down the Florida passing game but I do think the Bulldogs will continue having success in the red zone, where they’ve been the stingiest team in the nation. UGA ranks third in the country in overall red zone scoring percentage and first in TD percentage allowed.
With a more restricted field and no running game to speak of, Florida should have issues turning drives into seven points.
Georgia has won the past two meetings by a combined 54 points. It will be much closer but I think we see the same result in a lower scoring game.
I think the difference will be the Georgia redzone defense and their clearly superior offensive line, which will allow them to eat up yards in the run game between the tackles (and keep the clock rolling). Give me the under 47. — Stuckey
Stuckey’s Pick: Under 47 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
Lamichal Perine Under 65.5 Rushing Yards (DraftKings)
This line is a little too high, and his rushing yards prop can be found in the 50’s elsewhere.
Perine has gotten more than 14 touches just once all season and we expect Florida to be playing from behind against a Georgia front seven that ranks No. 7 in opportunity rate (percentage of carries that go for 5+ yards).
There won’t be many easy yards available for him, and I think the Gators will all but abandon the run later in the game if they can’t get much going.
Perine has only topped 65.5 yards twice this season, and once was 68 on 14 carries against South Carolina in a game the Gators led for much of the second half.
Florida is also expected to get back one of its most dynamic weapons in Kedarious Toney, who should siphon away 3-4 touches that otherwise would have gone to Perine.
He’s a good back, but not an explosive one who strikes fear into an under bettor’s heart every time he touches the ball. (Georgia RB D’Andre Swift is a different story. I also took Under 105.5 yards on because it’s simply too high, but this bet carries more risk because he’s been a workhorse in their last four games with 19.75 carries per game and all he’s needed in the past to smash his props is more opportunity.)
Steve’s Pick: Perine Under 65.5 Rushing Yards [Bet now at DraftKings]