Heisman Odds Watch: Favorites Pulling Away After Week 6

Oct 08, 2018 1:00 PM EDT
  • Heisman betting odds didn't change much following college football's Week 6 slate.
  • Only two players had sizable increases in their Heisman chances: Oklahoma's Kyler Murray and Clemson's Travis Etienne.

The Heisman odds market is a volatile one, but that volatility didn’t show in Week 6.

The three favorites to win the award all saw a nudge in their odds, including a pretty sizable one for Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray, but in terms of odds, the rest of the list remained almost identical to last week’s.

Here are the latest numbers from Westgate.

Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.

Risers

Kyler Murray (QB, Oklahoma): +400 to +300 (20% to 25% implied probability)

Week 6 vs. Texas: 19 of 26, 304 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT. 92 rush yards on 11 attempts, 1 TD.

Oklahoma’s loss may have kept Murray from entering the +200 range, but his ridiculous stat line still forced oddsmakers to bump his odds up to +300, making his implied probability increase the biggest one of the week.

Travis Etienne (RB, Clemson): +10000 to +5000 (0.99% to 1.96% implied probability)

Week 6 @ Wake Forest: 167 yards on 10 attempts, 3 TD

Etienne broke out last week in Clemson’s come-from-behind win over Syracuse, but oddsmakers were hesitant to adjust his Heisman stock until now.

With consecutive three-touchdown games under his belt, Etienne has rapidly become the second-most likely running back to win the award.

Fallers

Will Grier (QB, West Virginia): +400 to +600 (20% to 14.29% implied probability)

Week 6 vs. Kansas: 28 for 41, 332 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT

The Kansas defense has been a surprise this year, but still, more was expected of Grier on Saturday — at least in the eyes of oddsmakers. Grier’s three-interception game dropped his odds to +600, making him the biggest faller of the weekend.

Bryce Love (RB, Stanford): +4000 to +10000 (2.44% to 0.99% implied probability)

Week 6 vs. Utah: Did not play (ankle)

Love missed this weekend’s game with an injured ankle — his second missed game of the season — causing oddsmakers to drop his implied probability to a hair under 1%.

Brandon Wimbush (QB, Notre Dame): +10000 to +200000 (0.99% to 0.05% implied probability)

Week 6 @ Virginia Tech: 0 for 0, 0 yards. 8 rush yards on 3 attempts.

I’m not sure how this took so long, but oddsmakers have finally adjusted their odds to reflect that Wimbush is no longer the starting quarterback for Notre Dame.

Credit:

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Kyler Murray (1) runs for a touchdown during the second half against the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
MSU
MICH
+6.5
47.5
+7.5
41
LSU
MSST
-6.5
44.5
-6.5
45.5
TEM
CIN
-3.5
48.5
-3.5
47.5
ECU
UCF
+24
64.5
+21.5
65
USF
CONN
-31
70
-32.5
69
WASH
COLO
-17
51
-17.5
50
TCU
OKLA
+7.5
61
+7.5
62
WSU
ORE
-2
66
-3
69
UK
VAN
-11.5
48
-12.5
46.5
TENN
BAMA
+28.5
58
+29
57.5
CLEM
NCST
-17
53.5
-17.5
57.5
IOWA
MD
-13.5
51.5
-9
44
PUR
OSU
+12
64.5
+12
69
WISC
ILL
-25.5
54.5
-24
57
IND
PSU
+13
62
+14.5
59.5