Illinois vs. Iowa Odds & Sharp Betting Pick: Late Pro Money Hitting Over/Under
Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kirk Ferentz
- Sharps are still finding value on today's Illinois vs. Iowa (12 p.m. ET, BTN), at least as of this morning.
- See how pros are betting the over/under, and how oddsmakers are reacting to their bets.
With most Week 13 marquee games coming from the Big Ten, there are plenty of options for bettors to get their action in early today. Aside from the obvious in Penn State vs. Ohio State — which could be the most heavily bet game on the entire slate — Minnesota-Northwestern and Illinois-Iowa will also both be kicking off at noon ET.
The former has been drawing sharp action throughout the entire week (and is arguably the game drawing the most sharp action on the entire slate), while the latter has seen some later movement, including market-moving rushes of smart money last night and early this morning.
Illinois vs. Iowa Sharp Betting Report
12 p.m. ET | Big Ten Network
The now 15.5-point spread on this game looks a bit high to most bettors, as 61% are taking the points with an Illinois team that’s shown it can pull the upset this season. And while Iowa has seen some sharp action to get that number up from its opener (-12.5), its the over/under that’s seen the heavier dose of professional money.
With Big Ten games — at least those not featuring Ohio State — generally being known for their low scores and slow paces, this matchup has drawn a majority of bettors to the under. Seventy-four percent, to be exact, have taken the under on a total that opened at 46.5.
Odds as of Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.
That majority, however, has accounted for just 59% of actual money, meaning bigger bettors — who are more likely to be sharps — are seeing this game differently.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and record market-moving instances of sharp action, have been triggered a total of four times on the over, including once at 8 p.m. ET last night, and another at 5 a.m. ET this morning.
As a result, oddsmakers have been convinced to bring this number up to 48.5, even though it’s meant giving the majority of their customers an easier bet.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 46.5 to 48.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]