Hawaii vs. Boise State Odds, Picks and Betting Prediction: Prepare for Fireworks at the Mountain West Championship
Brian Losness, USA Today Sports.
Mountain West Championship Odds: Boise State vs. Hawaii
- Spread: Boise State -13.5
- Over/Under: 64.5
- Time: Saturday, 4 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
The Rainbow Warriors on the Blue Turf. What more can you ask for from a conference title game?
Hawaii and Boise both can score in bunches, so its no surprise that the Mountain West Championship is tied with the Big 12 Title Game for the weekend’s highest total at 64.5 points.
The first time these two teams met, they combined for 96 points in a 59-37 win for the Broncos. Will we see a similar script with everything at stake on Saturday?
Odds as of Saturday morning and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $200 and a deposit bonus of up to $500.
Boise State vs. Hawaii Line Movement
Opening spreads for this game varied a bit with timing, as the earliest books were up around Boise -17. Later ones joined the market when the line had already dropped to -14.5, and that movement has continued to drop below two touchdowns. All of that has come with only 23% of bettors taking Hawaii, though their bets have generated 37% of actual money.
Tied with the Pac-12 Championship as the highest total on the slate, this one has had no trouble drawing bets to the over. But even 78% of bettors accounting for 76% of money making that bet, most books have yet to make a significant move, going from 64 to 64.5. — Danny Donahue
Collin Wilson: Can Hawaii Avoid Turning the Ball Over?
Hawaii will need to travel to Boise for a second time this season. The Rainbow Warriors fell, 59-37, in the first game. That game was all Boise from the start, as the Broncos took a 31-14 lead into the locker room. The Broncos benefited from explosive touchdown passes from Hank Backmeier, Chase Cord and Jaylon Henderson. All three quarterbacks are expected to be available on Saturday.
While that box score looks ugly, Hawaii did lose three fumbles in its own territory and all three drops turned into touchdowns for the Broncos. If Nick Rolovich can get a clean box score from his roster, Hawaii can keep up in a shootout. The Rainbow Warriors have the 124th-worst turnover margin in the country, so they make life miserable for a defense that ranks 96th in finishing drive.
Our projected Over/Under for this game is 59, so there could be some value on the Under, but that’s a tough recommendation to make after these two squads combined for 96 points.
Hawaii’s offense sputtered for 35 total points in efforts against UNLV and San Diego State, but a 52-point output against Army removes any questions about this offense’s ability to light up the scoreboard.
If the Rainbow Warriors can avoid turnovers, I think they can keep this game within the number and will look to back them at +14 or better.
Collin Wilson is 482-404-23 (54.4%) overall betting on college football. You can follow him in our free app.
Stuckey: A Game for Live Betting
I am not interested in any pre-game bets on this game at the current numbers, but there are some live opportunities I am looking for.
I don’t see how a very poor Hawaii defense can slow down this Boise State offense for 60 minutes, but the Rainbow Warriors can move the ball, so if Hawaii gets off to an early lead or is ahead at the half, I may try to get in on Boise.
The Broncos have excelled at coming back in games all season and I don’t see any reason why they couldn’t do it against a poor defense at home.
If that situation never presents itself, this is a pure pass for me as the side and total are spot one.
Stuckey is 519-478-29 (52.1%) overall betting on college football. You can follow him in our free app.