Navy vs. Army Odds: Sharps Betting Service Academy Under Trend

Navy vs. Army Odds: Sharps Betting Service Academy Under Trend article feature image
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Elsa/Getty Images. Pictured: Jacob Springer, Cameron Kinley and Nizaire Cromartie.

  • America's Game is a game unlike any other with a betting trend unlike any other.
  • The under has hit in 14 straight years of this matchup, and sharps may think it'll move to 15 on Saturday.
  • Check out how sharps are betting this game and how it's affecting lines below.

Navy vs. Army Odds

Navy Odds +7
Army Odds -7
Over/Under 38
PRO Projections ARMY -5.5 | O/U 38.3
Time Saturday, 3 p.m. ET
TV CBS

As you take a gander at this weekend’s Navy-Army betting odds, the first thing that catches your eye (probably) is the unusually low total — well, unusual for a normal college football matchup.

In fact, at 38 as of writing, this is the second-lowest number of the entire 2020 season (Western Kentucky at FAU, 37.5). And there’s good reason for that.

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Navy vs. Army Betting Trend

As you may already be aware, service academy football involves a whole lot of running. Navy, Air Force and Army rank 124th, 126th and 127th, respectively, in 2020 passing-play percentage … out of 127 teams.

Of course, the ball staying on the ground — provided runners stay in bounds in the later part of the halves — keeps the clock moving almost nonstop, which is naturally going to make it harder to rack up a high point total.

But what makes it truly special when two of these teams meet is that since they all play a similar style — basing their offenses around the triple-option — they’re all well-practiced in defending it, so big plays become even more difficult to come by.

You probably get where I’m going, so here’s the data:

Since 2005, games involving two of the three service academy teams have gone 36-9-1 to the under. And the Army-Navy matchup, specifically, has been the best of the bunch.

  • Army vs. Navy: 14-1-0
  • Air Force vs. Navy: 12-4-0
  • Army vs. Air Force: 10-4-1

And as our PRO Report details, sharp bettors have already started making moves on this Saturday’s matchup.


Navy vs. Army Sharp Betting Pick

The pros are buying the trend, at least at the early-week number, and our experts are right there with them.

Sharp Action

Despite coming in with a low opener to begin with, this total has still fallen by a few points thanks to a sharp backing of the under.

Per Sports Insights Bet Signals, there have been at least five unique instances of market-moving action from sharps, helping explain why oddsmakers have been convinced to adjust this number.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

Also pointing toward a sharp backing of the under (while providing more reason for sportsbooks to drop the line) has been the 95% of money that’s come in on the under.

What makes that figure so noteworthy, though, is that it’s come on just 61% of bets, meaning the under is drawing the bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.

Big Money edge: Under

PRO Systems

Based on the above, it’s pretty clear why this signal is illuminated …

PRO Systems edge: Under

Top Experts

Our experts have also been quick to jump on this number. As of writing, two have already staked a wager in the under.

You can follow all our experts’ picks, and get notified right when they make them, by downloading the free Action App.

Top Experts edge: Under

There’s more early sharp action this week…

Arizona State vs. Arizona

Michigan vs. Ohio State

Wisconsin vs. Iowa