The New Mexico State Aggies take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in Bowling Green, Ky. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EDT on ESPN+.
Western Kentucky is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -315. The total is set at 53 points.
Here’s my New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 1, 2025.
New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction
- New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Pick: New Mexico State +8.5
My Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State best bet is on the Aggies. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Odds
| New Mexico State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 53 -110o / -110u | +255 |
| Western Kentucky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 53 -110o / -110u | -315 |
New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
Undervalued Road Dogs Wider Sample is a college football system that expands on the idea that large road underdogs often hold more value than the market expects.
During the regular season, when the spread falls between seven and a half and 21.5 points, the public typically assumes the favorite will dominate, especially when the underdog is on a losing streak away from home.
However, teams in this range often perform better than expected, particularly when their Pythagorean rating shows they are still competitive within 30 points of expectation.
The system also narrows in on games with a closing total of 55.5 or lower, meaning the contest is not projected to be a high-scoring shootout, which naturally makes it harder for the favorite to separate by a wide margin.
When betting action on the spread leans heavily toward the favorite, the line often becomes inflated, leaving value on the underdog.
By combining perception, moderate totals, and statistical indicators of competitiveness, this system consistently uncovers road teams that stay within the number.
Pick: New Mexico State +8.5
