Oregon State vs Arizona State Odds, Picks: How to Bet This Early Pac-12 Game

Oregon State vs Arizona State Odds, Picks: How to Bet This Early Pac-12 Game article feature image

Via Icon Sportswire/Getty Images. Pictured: Arizona State Sun Devils running back Xazavian Valladay (1) runs with the ball during the game between the Washington State Cougars and the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday, November 12, 2022 at Martin Stadium in Pullman, WA.

Oregon State vs. Arizona State Odds

Saturday, Nov. 19
2:15 p.m. ET
Oregon State Odds
-110o / -110u
Arizona State Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

This one is far from Pac-12 after dark as this matchup will kick off just a few minutes past noon in Tempe, Arizona when the 23rd-ranked Oregon State Beavers travel south to face the Arizona State Sun Devils.

The Beavers have kept the ball rolling this season and have won four of their last five games.

All of those wins have come without starting quarterback Chance Nolan. Backup quarterback Ben Gulbranson has done an excellent job of putting his club in a position to succeed, and the market appears to think he will do so again in this matchup.

As for the Sun Devils, it has been a season of peaks and valleys as they fired Herm Edwards very early when they hit rock bottom after losing to Eastern Michigan. Then they found a spark in their upset win against Washington.

Unfortunately, that spark was short-lived, as they've lost three of their last four and will now have a tall task in front of them as 7.5-point home underdogs.

Can the Sun Devils rally for one last time, or will the Beavers roll them over? Let's dive in to find out.

Oregon State Beavers

As I alluded to in the open, Oregon State has hit its stride of late and hasn't missed a beat without Nolan.

This has happened for two reasons.

The first is that they are a rush-heavy offense. They run the ball at the 18th-highest rate in the country. This means that whichever quarterback is under center is not asked to do much.

The second reason is that Gulbranson has done a tremendous job of not turning the ball over, which has been critical. He only has three interceptions in his six starts and one total pick in his last five games.

Gulbranson will need to manage the offense once again on Saturday as the ground game should be firing on all cylinders.

The Sun Devils have been ravaged on the ground as they enter this matchup ranked 120th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed and 121st in Defensive Line Yards. So whether it's Damien Martinez, Deshaun Fenwick or Jam Griffin, the ball should move methodically down the field all game long.

The must-have app for college football bettors

The best NCAAF betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

Arizona State Sun Devils

Backup quarterback Trenton Bourguet gave the Sun Devils offense a midseason spark.

He was dynamite in the upset win over Washington and has been the starter ever since. However, Arizona State has not abandoned Emory Jones, as he's been getting his fair share of reps as well. However, his mobility has given him a far different role.

Regardless of which quarterback is under center, he will have a tough time with this Oregon State defense. The Beavers rank 33rd in PFF Pass Coverage Grade, and that has translated into ranking 24th in opponent completion percentage and 19th in yards per pass allowed.

Arizona State is not a team that wants to nor has proven capable of running the ball this season. However, the Sun Devils wouldn't find much success on the ground in this matchup either way, as the Beavers are 33rd in yards per rush allowed.

No matter which way you slice it, the Sun Devils' offensive outlook in this matchup is bleak.

Oregon State vs. Arizona State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Oregon State and Arizona State match up statistically:

Oregon State Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
Rush Success23120
Line Yards26121
Pass Success2793
Pass Blocking**2874
Finishing Drives32124
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Arizona State Offense vs. Oregon State Defense
Rush Success8170
Line Yards5557
Pass Success4943
Pass Blocking**106120
Finishing Drives2429
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling4658
PFF Coverage3095
SP+ Special Teams11118
Seconds per Play29.7 (124)28.4 (106)
Rush Rate60.7% (18)49.9% (89)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.

Oregon State vs. Arizona State Betting Pick

This is a game where the Beavers should be in complete control.

They will dictate the tempo and chew clock with long, methodical drives. They should also dominate the time of possession as Arizona State will struggle to extend drives in passing situations.

Everything here is pointing to the under. Arizona State won't score much, and the Beavers may not leave themselves enough time to run it up.

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.