Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zamir White
- College football odds for Saturday have been shaped by oddsmakers and the betting market for almost an entire week now.
- Here are our projected odds for every game compared to the lines posted at sportsbooks on Saturday morning.
- Don't take them as gospel, but use them as part of your handicapping process.
The college football betting market had a full week to take shape. Odds have changed, limits have been raised, and the market is more efficient now than it was on Sunday.
Here at The Action Network we keep our own betting power ratings, created and maintained by the incomparable Collin Wilson. They can be used to create a point spread between any two teams on a neutral field.
Below, Action EDGE members can get the full power ratings and projected odds for each game compared to the posted odds. But first, some of the biggest discrepancies. Collin’s full power ratings for every team from 1-130 are here.
College Football Odds vs. Current Lines Discrepancies
UCF at Pitt
Our ratings have been down on UCF forever, and it’s coming to a head this week when the high-powered Knights travel to Pitt. Our ratings make this game closer to a pick’em, while most books have UCF as an 11-point favorite.
Notre Dame at Georgia
We covered this game in-depth here, but there aren’t a whole lot of personnel-related or situational reasons to back Notre Dame other than the number potentially being too high. But sometimes that’s a good enough reason.
Only question is if you have faith in the Notre Dame front seven holding up against Georgia’s mammoth line and deadly rushing attack.
Coastal Carolina at UMass
Hold your breath for this one. We have UMass as a 9.5-point underdog at home to Coastal Carolina, while the betting market has it at 16.5 or higher.
If you want to join Collin in backing the Minutemen — unquestionably the worst FBS team in the country right now — he would greatly appreciate you. But he has conviction in his numbers regardless.
Our Projected College Football Odds for Week 4
TAN spread is in relation to the home team — a negative number means the home team is favored, a positive number means the home team is the underdog.
All odds as of 8 p.m. ET on Friday night.