Public Slamming Nebraska-Illinois, Hawaii-UCLA Totals Ahead of College Football Week 0
Russell Lansford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Adrian Martinez.
The public apparently sees value in two totals for Saturday’s Week 0 slate, if the early-morning market’s any indication.
Nebraska-Illinois has dipped from an opener of 55 to 52.5 at PointsBet as of Saturday morning. Elsewhere, the Hawaii-UCLA total’s down to 67.5 at the same shop after peaking at 70.5.
The Big Ten total had held firm at 55 leading up to game week before the public started taking its whacks. The number plummeted to 53.5 at PointsBet on Friday night and dropped another point early Saturday morning.
Needless to say, bettors aren’t buying recent trends.
The Cornhuskers and Fighting Illini have gone over the total in three straight meetings. The two offenses have combined to post 77.7 points per contest over that span, beating the closing total by an average of 12.3 points per game.
However, Nebraska’s gone under the total in six straight road games dating back to 2018. It’ll be interesting to see how an offense that’s bottom-five nationally in returning skill player usage gels right out of the gates.
On the West Coast, bettors aren’t buying a barn burner between the Rainbow Warriors and Bruins.
The total was previously coasting past 70+ before free-falling around the market Friday.
Hawaii’s always a fun “over” team, but will last year’s trend bleed over to 2021? The Mountain West affiliate was one of the most profitable under plays in the country, going 7-2 to that side of the total.
The defense quietly performed well against the pass in 2020, finishing No. 40 nationally in Success Rate.
If UCLA wants to stop Hawaii’s offense, it has to be better in stopping the run. The unit ranked No. 120 in the country last year in Rushing Success Rate.
However, head coach Chip Kelly has plenty to work with, as the Bruins return 84% of last year’s production.