The Stanford Cardinal take on the Miami Hurricanes in Miami Gardens, Florida. Kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT on ESPN.
Miami is favored by 30 points on the spread with a moneyline of -10000. The total is set at 45 points.
Here’s my Stanford vs. Miami prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 25, 2025.
Stanford vs Miami Prediction
- Stanford vs. Miami Pick: Miami -30 (-110, bet365)
My Miami vs. Stanford best bet is on the Hurricanes to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Stanford vs Miami Odds
| Stanford Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+30 -110 | 45 -110o / -110u | +2500 |
| Miami (FL) Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-30 -110 | 45 -110o / -110u | -10000 |
- Stanford vs Miami point spread: Miami -30 (-110), Stanford +30 (-110)
- Stanford vs Miami over/under: 45 (-110o / -110u).
- Stanford vs Miami moneyline: Stanford +2500, Miami -10000
Stanford vs Miami College Football Game Preview
Stanford Preview
Before diving into any of the metrics, it's important to note how awful a spot this is for Stanford.
Not only are the Cardinal coming off their huge upset win as 17.5-point underdogs, but they now have to travel across the country against a Miami team that lost last Friday against Louisville.
Also, Stanford was significantly outgained offensively against the Seminoles and had no business winning the game outright.
Stanford’s offense enters this game with a troubling efficiency profile. The Cardinal have been rotating quarterbacks, and they rank 113th nationally in EPA per Pass — bad news against a strong Miami secondary.
Meanwhile, they rank 64th nationally in Rush EPA, but the Miami rush defense is elite.
Stanford’s available yards percentage is only 38.4%, which is 117th nationally. On third-and-fourth down, Stanford converts at just 39%, while the Hurricanes allow only 34%.
Stanford's average third-down distance is 6.79 yards, which is not the worst. However, Miami forces an average distance of 7.85, which ranks 16th nationally.
Defensively, the Cardinal will likely struggle against Miami's passing attack. A Malachi Toney receiving prop could be worth a look.
Stanford has been mediocre against the run, but its available yards permitted percentage is 53.1%, outside the bottom 120 nationally. Its opponents’ average third-down success is 37%, which is respectable but not dominant.
I have absolutely zero faith Stanford can hold up its end of the bargain here. I do not think it will score much at all, and the defense is going to be in trouble against a pissed off Miami offense.
Miami Previeew
It's a dream spot for Miami, and the Hurricanes will enter the matchup still feeling salty after their Friday night loss against Louisville.
The Canes rank 45th nationally in Rush and Pass EPA, which should bode well against Stanford's defense.
Specifically, quarterback Carson Beck is coming off a poor performance, so this is a terrific spot to get right against an awful Stanford secondary.
The Hurricanes are often in third-and-short situations, which is where Stanford’s defense struggles the most. Miami should string together plenty of sustained, quality drives.
The Hurricanes should be able to dominate time of possession, limit Stanford’s opportunities, and execute drives that Stanford is ill-equipped to stop.
Defensively, I noted above that Miami holds clear advantages in the trenches and the secondary against a bad Stanford offense. Although Stanford's bread and butter has been the ground attack, a huge mismatch here will prevent them from sustaining consistent drives.
How To Make Stanford vs Miami Picks
This is a smash spot to back the Hurricanes.
Given the combination of statistical dominance, situational edge, and an extra day of preparation, I am laying the points.
The numbers show Miami should move the ball at above-average efficiency while Stanford is ill-equipped to respond.
Stanford’s travel burden and last week's flukey result further solidify my case.
Beck wants revenge after last week, and I don’t think Mario will let his foot off the gas until very late.
Pick: Miami -30 (-110, bet365)
Moneyline
No play.
Against the Spread
I laid -30 with the Hurricanes.
Over/Under
No play.
