Miller’s TCU at Purdue Betting Preview & Odds: Finding Value in the Boilermakers-Horned Frogs Total

Miller’s TCU at Purdue Betting Preview & Odds: Finding Value in the Boilermakers-Horned Frogs Total article feature image

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Purdue Pete

  • TCU at Purdue is one of the most intriguing matchups of Week 3 from a betting perspective.
  • The Boilermakers have flown over totals so far this season by an average of 8.2 points per game, so will that continue?

TCU at Purdue Betting Odds & Pick

  • Odds: TCU -2
  • Over/Under: 53
  • Date: Saturday, Sept. 14
  • Time: 7:30 p.m.  ET
  • TV: Big Ten Network
  • Location: West Lafayette, Ind.

All odds above as of Friday at 2 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Purdue continues it’s unusual non-conference schedule when TCU comes to West Lafayette on Saturday.

It’s one of the more intriguing matchups on the Week 3 slate from a betting perspective, considering the profile of the teams and how little we know about the Horned Frogs.

TCU has just one game against Arkansas-Pine Bluff under its belt this season, so it’s not easy to get a read on this team. We know they’re going to use both Alex Delton and Max Duggan at quarterback as they did in Week 1.

We also know that despite having a comfortable lead for that entire game, TCU ranks 29th in pace and 100th in run play percentage.

If they’re in a close game, as is expected by the betting market, they should continue or even increase their pace and passing tendencies.

When the Horned Frogs have the ball, they’ll be lining up across from a Purdue defense that’s had some real struggles so far this season. They allowed 295 and 420 passing yards to Nevada and Vanderbilt respectively, two offenses that weren’t supposed to be huge threats through the air.

Purdue’s run defense has been strong but they just lost their best overall player on defense in linebacker Markus Bailey. TCU’s aerial attack should exploit Purdue’s defense even more than Nevada and Vanderbilt did.

I expect TCU will have a solid defense in 2018 because Gary Patterson typically does, but we know nothing about them on that side of the ball from their first game.

Purdue has an incredibly explosive, pass-heavy offense under head coach Jeff Brohm. I feel very confident in Purdue putting up points on TCU’s defense.

Running out of superlatives… and we're only in week 3.

Rondale Moore in the NCAA Rankings.
1⃣: Receiving yards per game (172.0)
1⃣: Receiving yards (344)
1⃣: Receptions (24)
1⃣: All-purpose yards per game (229.5)
2⃣: Receptions per game (12.0)#Back4Moore

— Purdue Football (@BoilerFootball) September 10, 2019

Purdue quarterback Elijah Sindelar is a game-time decision with a slight concussion. While he’s listed as probable, you never know with concussions so this situation needs to be monitored.

Even if Sindelar doesn’t play, this game features two of the most electric wide receivers in the game in Purdue’s Rondale Moore and TCU’s Jalon Reagor. I believe this game is going over regardless of who is under center for the Boilers.

The Pick: Over 52.5

Rewatched some TCU-Baylor yesterday. Jalen Reagor is so dangerous. Should be one of the nation's best in 2019.

— Max Olson (@max_olson) May 7, 2019

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